Malvín vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
69:71
30/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5867
Field goals made
2526
Field goals %
43.1%38.81%
2-point field goals attempts
3247
2-point field goals made
1918
2-point field goals %
59.38%38.3%
3-point field goals attempts
2620
3-point field goals made
68
3-point field goals %
23.08%40%
Free throws attempts
1724
Free throws made
1313
Free throws %
76.5%54.2%
Offensive rebounds
1016
Defensive rebounds
2924
Total rebounds
3940
Assists
1717
Blocks
60
Turnovers
106
Steals
36
Personal fouls
2020

Chances of winning


Malvín
34.6%
Nacional
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Malvín - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (3.01)

    1.4
    (1.32)
    9.3%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 3.
    • Malvín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nacional is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1562:1645. (average 78.1:82.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 558:573. (average 79.7:81.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malvín - Nacional were as follows:
    23.03.2026 Nacional - Malvín 88:90
    03.02.2026 Nacional - Malvín 79:53
    14.11.2025 Malvín - Nacional 82:75
    31.03.2025 Nacional - Malvín 82:85
    14.01.2025 Malvín - Nacional 67:88
    Latest results of Malvín
    26.03.2026 Aguada - Malvín 88:64
    23.03.2026 Nacional - Malvín 88:90
    16.03.2026 Malvín - Defensor Sporting 85:83
    12.03.2026 Malvín - Hebraica y Macabi 90:76
    Latest results of Nacional
    26.03.2026 Defensor Sporting - Nacional 68:80
    23.03.2026 Nacional - Malvín 88:90
    19.03.2026 Hebraica y Macabi - Nacional 80:111
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Winners stage
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol262242294:193146
    2Hebraica y Macabi2815132350:236443
    3Malvin2817112264:228143
    4Aguada261972390:220641
    5Nacional261792381:213541
    6Defensor2813152385:239141

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