Result
2:2
11/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
- Referee: Almeida N. (Por)
Chances of winning
Trofense
45.2% | Draw
27.8% | Nacional
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trofense's performance.Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Trofense - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.27) |
3.32 ↑
(3.2) |
3.41 ↑
(2.75) |
8.4%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Trofense - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trofense: 56.3% – 87.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
- Recent matches Trofense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Nacional?
Trofense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Trofense?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Nacional were as follows:
18.09.2022
Nacional
-
Trofense
0:1
Latest results of Trofense
Latest results of Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Torreense | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Leiria | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Feirense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Chaves | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:21 | 4 | 30 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
