Trofense vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Trofense - Nacional
Result
2:2
11/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Almeida N. (Por)

Chances of winning


Trofense
45.2%
Draw
27.8%
Nacional
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 28% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 30.6% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trofense's performance.
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Trofense - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.27)
    3.32
    (3.2)
    3.41
    (2.75)
    8.4%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Trofense - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trofense: 56.3%87.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
    • Recent matches Trofense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Trofense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Nacional were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Nacional - Trofense 0:1
    Latest results of Trofense
    04.03.2023 Moreirense - Trofense 1:0
    24.02.2023 Trofense - Penafiel 1:2
    18.02.2023 Trofense - Oliveirense 2:1
    11.02.2023 Vilafranquense - Trofense 0:1
    05.02.2023 Trofense - Leixões 0:1
    Latest results of Nacional
    05.03.2023 Nacional - Covilhã 2:0
    26.02.2023 BSAD - Nacional 0:1
    19.02.2023 Nacional - Leixões 1:2
    13.02.2023 Mafra - Nacional 3:3
    09.02.2023 Casa Pia - Nacional 2:5
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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