Næstved BK vs Hobro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Næstved BK - Hobro
Result
1:0
08/10/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 12
  • Referee: Baek J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Næstved BK
35.2%
Draw
26.7%
Hobro
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 25.1% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 23.8% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Næstved BK's performance.
  • Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hobro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Næstved BK that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hobro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Næstved BK - Hobro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (3.44)
    3.49
    (3.6)
    2.42
    (1.86)
    7.7%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Næstved BK - Hobro?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Næstved will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Hobro will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hobro: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
    • Næstved is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Hobro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hobro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Næstved won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Næstved won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Næstved BK - Hobro were as follows:
    28.07.2023 Hobro - Næstved BK 3:2
    30.10.2022 Hobro - Næstved BK 0:0
    Latest results of Næstved BK
    01.10.2023 Fredericia - Næstved BK 4:1
    27.09.2023 Næstved BK - Midtjylland 0:2
    24.09.2023 Næstved BK - Hillerød 2:2
    17.09.2023 Vendsyssel - Næstved BK 1:1
    04.09.2023 Næstved BK - HB Køge 3:3
    Latest results of Hobro
    01.10.2023 Hobro - Kolding IF 2:3
    27.09.2023 Hobro - OB Odense 0:1
    22.09.2023 B.93 Copenhagen - Hobro 1:2
    15.09.2023 Hobro - Horsens 0:1
    03.09.2023 Helsingør - Hobro 1:3
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Koge22004:136
    2Lyngby21103:124
    3Hillerod21104:314
    4Horsens21102:114
    5Kolding IF21012:203
    6Esbjerg21012:3-13
    7B.9320202:202
    8Hvidovre IF20112:3-11
    9Aalborg20112:3-11
    10Aarhus Fremad20111:2-11
    11Middelfart20111:2-11
    12Hobro20110:2-21

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )