Nafta vs Ilirija Ljubljana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. SNL - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Nafta
76.7%
Draw
17%
Ilirija Ljubljana
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 18.7% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6% 17.4% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nafta's performance.
  • Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilirija Ljubljana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.31)
    5.48
    (4.88)
    14.72
    (7.83)
    7.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Ilirija (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilirija (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga (Promotion: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 2.
    • Nafta has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ilirija's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nafta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nafta is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nafta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nafta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana were as follows:
    18.11.2023 Ilirija Ljubljana - Nafta 2:1
    09.11.2023 Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana 2:0
    02.03.2023 Ilirija Ljubljana - Nafta 2:0
    Latest results of Nafta
    11.10.2025 Bistrica - Nafta 0:2
    04.10.2025 Nafta - Tabor Sežana 3:1
    27.09.2025 Jadran Dekani - Nafta 0:2
    20.09.2025 Nafta - Jesenice 5:1
    13.09.2025 Krško - Nafta 0:2
    Latest results of Ilirija Ljubljana
    Slovenian 2 SNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nafta23185054:183659
    2Grosuplje23175150:212956
    3Triglav23153560:233748
    4Tabor Sezana23145432:191347
    5Beltinci23136441:192245
    6NK Bistrica23106740:251536
    7Rudar2377936:30628
    8Bilje23761020:37-1727
    9Slovan Ljubljana23741223:39-1625
    10Jadran Dekani23661126:33-724
    11Krsko Posavje23641319:46-2722
    12NK Krka23410920:36-1622
    13Dravinja23551322:39-1720
    14Ilirija23391129:42-1318
    15NK Jesenice23361421:49-2815
    16ND Gorica23191320:37-1712

          Promotion ~ Prva liga
          Promotion ~ Prva liga (Promotion: )
          Relegation