Result
5:3
04/10/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 24
- Referee: Shumilov I. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Leonovich K. (Pen),
- 13', 2 - 0, Roziev R. ⚽, Leonovich K. (A),
- 20', 2 - 1, Laptev D. ⚽, Aleksievich I. (A),
- 30', Zayats I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Potapenko A. ↓, Antilevskiy A. ↑,
- 49', Silinsky D. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 1, Roziev R. ⚽, Kress E. (A),
- 57', Zayats I. 🟨,
- 59', Adeola R. ↓, Shemruk A. ↑,
- 62', 4 - 1, Roziev R. ⚽, Drabatovich A. (A),
- 69', Martinkevich V. ↓, Matveychik S. ↑,
- 69', Laptev D. ↓, Aleksandrov M. ↑,
- 75', Roziev R. ↓, Rakhimov A. ↑,
- 75', Leonovich K. ↓, Grudko I. ↑,
- 80', Kingu M. ↓, Ermakovich K. ↑,
- 85', 4 - 2, Antilevskiy A. (Pen),
- 85', Pranovich I. ↓, Kopytich A. ↑,
- 85', Kress E. ↓, Kolyadko M. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Simanenka T. ⚽, Shemruk A. (A),
- 90+4', 5 - 3, Rakhimov A. ⚽, Protasov Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Naftan
28.7% | Draw
29% | Gomel
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Naftan - Gomel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↓
(3.34) |
3.19 ↑
(2.8) |
2.19 ↓
(2.37) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 0.
- In recent matches, Naftan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gomel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Naftan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gomel has had a series of home games.
- Gomel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Naftan won against Gomel?
Naftan has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gomel won against Naftan?
Gomel has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naftan - Gomel were as follows:
16.05.2025
Gomel
-
Naftan
2:0
21.09.2024
Gomel
-
Naftan
2:1
04.05.2024
Naftan
-
Gomel
0:2
12.08.2023
Gomel
-
Naftan
3:2
01.04.2023
Naftan
-
Gomel
1:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 42:24 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 38:23 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:23 | 13 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:35 | 3 | 41 |
| 7 | Isloch | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 40 |
| 8 | Neman | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 30:21 | 9 | 32 |
| 9 | BATE | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17:33 | -16 | 20 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11:36 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 24 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 16:55 | -39 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
