Nairobi United vs APS Bomet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Naibei T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 2, ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Nairobi United
46.1%
Draw
32.7%
APS Bomet
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 28.3% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 23.3% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nairobi United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that APS Bomet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nairobi United - APS Bomet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.85)
    2.76
    (3.23)
    4.27
    (4.12)
    10.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
    • Nairobi United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • APS Bomet is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nairobi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nairobi United is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nairobi United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Nairobi United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi United - APS Bomet were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Nairobi United - APS Bomet 1:0
    Latest results of Nairobi United
    01.02.2026 Azam - Nairobi United 1:0
    25.01.2026 Nairobi United - Azam 1:2
    19.01.2026 Police FC - Nairobi United 1:1
    15.01.2026 Kenya CB - Nairobi United 0:2
    Latest results of APS Bomet
    01.02.2026 Muranga Seal - APS Bomet 2:1
    24.01.2026 APS Bomet - Shabana 3:3
    17.01.2026 AFC Leopards - APS Bomet 2:1
    10.01.2026 APS Bomet - Mara Sugar 1:1
    21.12.2025 APS Bomet - Tusker 0:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia25175344:182656
    2Leopards25147433:181549
    3Police FC251010522:17540
    4Shabana25117730:27340
    5Kakamega Homeboyz24109535:26939
    6Muranga25108733:27638
    7Tusker251141023:25-237
    8Bandari25713520:18234
    9KCB2597925:27-234
    10Nairobi United2396828:24433
    11Posta Rangers25710823:29-631
    12Mara Sugar24612623:23030
    13Mathare Utd25861122:24-230
    14Kariobangi Sharks255101018:28-1025
    15Ulinzi Stars25571322:30-822
    16Bidco United254101116:28-1222
    17APS Bomet25491224:33-921
    18Sofapaka25361615:34-1915

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