Result
2:4
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
Chances of winning
Naivas
27.5% | Draw
35.9% | Migori Youth
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naivas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naivas's form might have worsened.Migori Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Migori Youth's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naivas than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naivas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Migori Youth than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Migori Youth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naivas - Migori Youth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↑
(2.02) |
3.02 ↑
(2.83) |
2.96 ↓
(3.77) |
-7.6%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Naivas - Migori Youth?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naivas won 1.
- Recent performances by Naivas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Migori Youth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Naivas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Naivas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naivas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Naivas won against Migori Youth?
Naivas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Migori Youth won against Naivas?
Migori Youth has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naivas - Migori Youth were as follows:
15.02.2025
Naivas
-
Migori Youth
0:1
29.01.2025
Migori Youth
-
Naivas
0:0
02.03.2024
Naivas
-
Migori Youth
4:0
20.12.2023
Migori Youth
-
Naivas
0:0
20.05.2023
Migori Youth
-
Naivas
3:0
Latest results of Migori Youth
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Migori | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | MOFA | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 31:15 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | Equity Bank | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Talanta FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21:14 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Kibera | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Soy United | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 17:15 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Nairobi City | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 29 |
| 12 | Naivas FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 28 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 22:23 | -1 | 25 |
| 14 | Kabati | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15:19 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Mwatate United | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Kisumu All-Stars | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 18 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 16 |
| 20 | MCF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
