Result
3:2
17/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Iraq | Almanasa, Iraqia Syriac |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Hason A. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Sioud N. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, Maraksi R. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 2, Hason A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Najaf 62.5% | Draw 26.6% | Karbala 10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Karbala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Najaf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Najaf - Karbala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.45 ↑ (1.4) |
3.42 ↓ (3.58) |
8.34 ↓ (9.64) |
10% (9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Najaf is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Karbala is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Karbala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Najaf is indisputable favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Najaf won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Najaf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
How many head-to-head matches has Najaf won against Karbala?
Najaf has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karbala won against Najaf?
Karbala has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Najaf - Karbala were as follows:
27.09.2024
Karbala
-
Najaf
1:1
27.05.2024
Karbala
-
Najaf
0:0
09.12.2022
Najaf
-
Karbala
3:2
Latest results of Karbala
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Naft | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Al Minaa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Erbil | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Newroz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Diyala | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Al Talaba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Al-Karma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Al Gharraf | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Al Shorta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Al Zawraa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Al Kahraba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Al Najaf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Baghdad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Duhok | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Al Mosul | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
17 | Zakho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Al Karkh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Naft Missan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
20 | Al-Qassim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation