Police Tero vs Nakhon Pathom United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Thai League 2 Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United
Result
4:2
05/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 2 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
88
Corner Kicks
71
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Wellington Smith ,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Wellington Smith ,
  • 37', 3 - 0, Wellington Smith ,
  • 44', 3 - 1, Nemati A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', 3 - 2, Kantanet P. ,
  • 87', 4 - 2, Namphueng S. ,

Chances of winning


Police Tero
39.1%
Draw
29.5%
Nakhon Pathom United
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 27.9% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 28.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police Tero's form might have worsened.
  • Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police Tero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.04)
    3.07
    (3.26)
    2.81
    (3.31)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Nakhon Pathom United (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nakhon Pathom United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Police Tero has had a series of away games.
    • Police Tero might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Police Tero won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Police Tero - Nakhon Pathom United 1:1
    01.10.2023 Nakhon Pathom United - Police Tero 1:2
    Latest results of Police Tero
    Latest results of Nakhon Pathom United
    Thai League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rasisalai Utd853017:9818
    2Chainat843115:10515
    3Phrae843112:9315
    4Sisaket United842210:8214
    5Nong Bua Pitchaya841314:13113
    6Police Tero84049:9012
    7Khonkaen Utd832318:13511
    8Songkhla83238:6211
    9Chanthaburi832311:14-311
    10Pattaya United824210:10010
    11Chiangmai Utd831410:13-310
    12Nakhon Si831412:17-510
    13Trat FC830514:1229
    14Kasetsart723213:1309
    15Nakhon Pathom82248:10-28
    16Pattani81438:14-67
    17Mahasarakham71338:10-26
    18Bangkok FC81259:16-75

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