Nakhon Ratchasima vs Pathum United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.18
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
68% (182/269)89% (565/632)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.21
Total shots
614
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
119
Passes
68% (182/269)89% (565/632)
Long passes
36% (22/61)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
51% (35/69)76% (126/165)
Crosses
33% (5/15)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.42
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
911
Tackles
82% (14/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4233
Clearances
3121
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.210.30
Goals prevented
0.210.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Phimpsang C. , Lemdee B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tamma C. , Nonthasila S. ,
  • 46', Buaphan C. , Ose T. ,
  • 46', Brandao , Darbellay D. ,
  • 46', Lalic N. , Sanmahung J. ,
  • 60', Dennis Murillo 🟨,
  • 63', Tongkiri C. , Songkrasin C. ,
  • 72', Sandokhadze N. 🟨,
  • 74', Darbellay D. , Athisaraworameth T. ,
  • 77', Lopez J. , Wonggorn J. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Doi T. ,
  • 84', Bangsungnoen R. , Mungdee A. ,
  • 88', Notsuda G. , Yooyen S. ,
  • 90', Anuin S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nakhon Ratchasima
22.7%
Draw
23.5%
Pathum United
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 24.1% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 23.6% 52.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (3.79)
    3.89
    (3.82)
    1.7
    (1.78)
    9.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Pathum United (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1.
    • Nakhon Ratchasima has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pathum United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Pathum United is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:19. (average 0.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United 1:3
    06.04.2025 Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima 1:0
    24.11.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United 1:0
    08.04.2023 Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima 5:2
    05.11.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United 0:4
    Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
    Latest results of Pathum United
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram ✔ 25203269:234663
    2Port MTI FC26155651:213050
    3Bangkok Utd24129336:221445
    4Ratchaburi24135640:251544
    5Pathum United26128640:281244
    6Prachuap26812632:33-136
    7Chonburi26971034:36-234
    8Rayong FC2588937:37032
    9Ayutthaya Utd26881031:37-632
    10Chiangrai Utd25611831:36-529
    11Uthai Thani25691034:38-427
    12Lamphun Warrior26414832:43-1126
    13Sukhothai26591218:38-2024
    14Kanchanaburi274101326:48-2222
    15Muang Thong Utd26561524:47-2321
    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC25461516:39-2318

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )