Result
0:1
07/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (182/269) | 89% (565/632) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (182/269) | 89% (565/632) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 76% (126/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Phimpsang C. ↓, Lemdee B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tamma C. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
- 46', Buaphan C. ↓, Ose T. ↑,
- 46', Brandao ↓, Darbellay D. ↑,
- 46', Lalic N. ↓, Sanmahung J. ↑,
- 60', Dennis Murillo 🟨,
- 63', Tongkiri C. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
- 72', Sandokhadze N. 🟨,
- 74', Darbellay D. ↓, Athisaraworameth T. ↑,
- 77', Lopez J. ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Doi T. ⚽,
- 84', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
- 88', Notsuda G. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
- 90', Anuin S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
22.7% | Draw
23.5% | Pathum United
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↑
(3.79) |
3.89 ↑
(3.82) |
1.7 ↓
(1.78) |
9.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Pathum United (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pathum United (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1.
- Nakhon Ratchasima has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pathum United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nakhon Ratchasima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Pathum United is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:19. (average 0.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Pathum United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Pathum United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Pathum United were as follows:
23.04.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Pathum United
1:3
06.04.2025
Pathum United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:0
24.11.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Pathum United
1:0
08.04.2023
Pathum United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
5:2
05.11.2022
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Pathum United
0:4
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Pathum United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32:20 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Prachuap | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Uthai Thani | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Chonburi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Chiangrai Utd | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:30 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 28:38 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 14 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13:33 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
