Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (278/344) | 78% (271/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (278/344) | 78% (271/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 37% (20/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (57/84) | 58% (52/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Dennis Murillo ⚽, Kusano Y. (A),
- 24', Inpaen S. 🟨,
- 32', Sontisawat S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sarakum M. ↓, Amornlerdsak A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Ratree S. ⚽,
- 58', Inpaen S. ↓, Charalampous C. ↑,
- 62', Hanrattana P. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 70', Ott Ma. 🟥,
- 71', Ratree S. ↓, Joao Afonso ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Dennis Murillo ⚽,
- 82', Mita H. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
- 82', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Sienkrthok P. ↑,
- 83', Junior S. 🟨,
- 84', James L. 🟨,
- 86', Romphopak S. ↓, Hempandan T. ↑,
- 86', Sontisawat S. ↓, Kaminthong P. ↑,
- 86', Ito R. ↓, Weslen Junior ↑,
- 90+3', Charalampous C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
28.7% | Draw
28.4% | Rayong FC
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Nakhon Ratchasima - Rayong FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↓
(3.27) |
3.2 ↓
(3.47) |
2.11 ↑
(2.03) |
10.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Rayong FC?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rayong FC will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Ratchasima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Rayong FC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Rayong FC?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Rayong FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Rayong FC were as follows:
22.08.2025
Rayong FC
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:2
25.01.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Rayong FC
3:3
31.08.2024
Rayong FC
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:1
07.02.2024
Rayong FC
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:1
30.09.2023
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Rayong FC
0:0
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Rayong FC
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 67:21 | 46 | 62 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48:21 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:23 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30:34 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22:46 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
