Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (326/410) | 74% (245/330) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (326/410) | 74% (245/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 43% (41/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Guo Yi ⚽,
- 26', Sun Xiaobin 🟨,
- 39', Dong Honglin 🟨,
- 45', Ruan Jun 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Antwi R. ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
- 63', Yao-hsing Yu ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
- 63', Fu Yuncheng ↓, Wang Xijie ↑,
- 64', Guo Yi ↓, Hu Jinghang ↑,
- 72', Hu Jinghang 🟨,
- 74', Hu Jinghang ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
- 75', Yuan H. ↓, Zheng Xuejian ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Wang Xijie (Own goal),
- 80', Huang Chuqi ↓, Han Kunda ↑,
- 80', Ruan Jun ↓, Li Bowen ↑,
- 82', Ding Yunfeng ↓, An Bang ↑,
- 87', Albarracin N. ↓, Yao Xilong ↑,
- 89', Ling Jie 🟨,
- 90+2', Zhang Hui ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
- 90+6', Liu Xinyu ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,
Chances of winning
Nanjing City
48% | Draw
29.2% | Foshan Nanshi
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nanjing City's form might have worsened.Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nanjing City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-3%)
Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.61) |
3.43 ↓
(4.03) |
4.39 ↓
(4.42) |
-0%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
- Nanjing City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Foshan Nanshi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nanjing City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nanjing City is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Nanjing City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Foshan Nanshi?
Nanjing City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Foshan Nanshi won against Nanjing City?
Foshan Nanshi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi were as follows:
11.05.2025
Foshan Nanshi
-
Nanjing City
1:3
31.08.2024
Foshan Nanshi
-
Nanjing City
0:0
13.04.2024
Nanjing City
-
Foshan Nanshi
0:0
Latest results of Nanjing City
Latest results of Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Dalian K'un City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Dingnan Ganlian | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32:51 | -19 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
