Nanjing City vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing).

Jia League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.44
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
10	21
Shots on target
1	7
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
73% (223/306)	86% (366/424)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	2.09
Total shots
10	21
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
4	15
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
8	28
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
73% (223/306)	86% (366/424)
Long passes
48% (30/62)	53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
48% (40/83)	78% (117/150)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	1.43
Throw-ins
16	14
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
33% (4/12)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
42	38
Clearances
16	20
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
2.09	0.90
Goals prevented
-0.91	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Ogbu M. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Lupeta J. (Pen),
18', Ogbu M. 🟨,
23', Dong Honglin 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Kurban I. ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sun Weizhe ↓, Yu Joy-yin ↑,
46', Deng Jiajie ↓, Gao Huaze ↑,
46', Li Xuebo ↓, Luan Yi ↑,
65', Liu Le ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
67', Liu H. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Ayovi J. ⚽,
72', Zhang Hui ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
73', Ding Yunfeng ↓, Meng Zhen ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Wang Jingbin ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
80', Gonzalez E. ↓, Du Zhixuan ↑,
81', Zhu Qiwen ↓, An Bang ↑,
81', Lupeta J. ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
89', Kurban I. ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
90+3', Isic T. ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
90+5', Ji Xiang 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nanjing City
43.2%

Draw
28.7%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.1%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shijiazhuang Gongfu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shijiazhuang Gongfu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (3.01)	3.42 ↑ (3.22)	3.64 ↑ (2.17)	2.9% (10.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?

Nanjing City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Nanjing City?

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu were as follows:

25.05.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City 2:0

05.10.2024 Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:1

25.05.2024 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City 3:1

16.09.2023 Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:1

11.06.2023 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City 0:2

Latest results of Nanjing City

27.09.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Nanjing City - Shenzhen Juniors 3:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Nanjing City - Shaanxi Union 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu

26.09.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 2:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union 1:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:1 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	25	16	7	2	52:25	27	55
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	25	15	4	6	46:31	15	49
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	25	14	5	6	41:29	12	47
4	Yanbian Longding	25	12	6	7	29:22	7	42
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	25	11	8	6	35:27	8	41
6	Nantong Zhiyun	25	11	6	8	39:25	14	39
7	Dingnan Ganlian	25	10	9	6	36:29	7	39
8	Dalian K'un City	25	10	8	7	34:30	4	38
9	Shaanxi Union	25	8	7	10	36:38	-2	31
10	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	21:26	-5	30
11	Nanjing City	25	7	8	10	32:35	-3	29
12	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	25	7	6	12	22:34	-12	27
13	Foshan Nanshi	25	6	7	12	24:37	-13	25
14	Shenzhen Juniors	25	7	2	16	32:52	-20	23
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	25	5	6	14	20:35	-15	21
16	Qingdao Red Lions	25	2	6	17	14:38	-24	12

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League