Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.432.37
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
67% (147/221)68% (177/262)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.432.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.602.87
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
3018
Passes
67% (147/221)68% (177/262)
Long passes
44% (27/61)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
53% (50/95)57% (51/89)
Crosses
24% (4/17)62% (8/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.71
Throw-ins
2011
Fouls
1830
Tackles
83% (5/6)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
2434
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.871.60
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', Lupeta J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Pi Ziyang ,
  • 40', Hu Rentian , Yuan H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Guo Yi , Ma Fuyu ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Leandro Alves (Pen),
  • 57', Yuan H. 🟨,
  • 62', Ogbu M. 🟨,
  • 67', Pi Ziyang , Lu K. ,
  • 67', Zhou Jianyi , Zhang Liang ,
  • 67', Shi Zhe , Song Bowei ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Lupeta J. , Yuan H. (A),
  • 73', Zhang Liang 🟨,
  • 74', Zhu Qiwen , Ling Jie ,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Wang Xijie , Yuan H. (A),
  • 89', Isic T. , Du Junpeng ,
  • 90+1', Liu Pujin , Jia Xiaochen ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Lupeta J. , Yu Menghui (A),
  • 90+6', Lupeta J. , Horqinhuu H. ,

Chances of winning


Qingdao Red Lions
27.8%
Draw
27.7%
Nanjing City
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 28.5% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 26.4% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.42)
    3.31
    (3.27)
    2.07
    (2.11)
    8.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 10).
    • Qingdao Red Lions has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nanjing City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nanjing City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions 2:0
    26.10.2024 Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City 2:1
    15.06.2024 Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions 2:1
    Latest results of Nanjing City
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Yanbian Longding11003:033
    2Wuxi Wugou11002:023
    3Guangdong GZ-Power11002:023
    4Dingnan Ganlian11002:113
    5Nantong Zhiyun11002:113
    6Nanjing City11002:113
    7Dalian K'un City11002:113
    8Shenzhen Juniors11001:013
    9Shijiazhuang Gongfu10011:2-10
    10Guangxi Hengchen10011:2-10
    11Shaanxi Union10010:1-10
    12Foshan Nanshi10010:2-20
    13Suzhou Dongwu10011:2-1-3
    14Ningbo Professional10010:2-2-3
    15Meizhou Hakka10010:3-3-3
    16Changchun Yatai10011:2-1-4

          Promotion ~ Super League
          Relegation ~ League Two