Result
2:3
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (147/221) | 68% (177/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 2.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (147/221) | 68% (177/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (50/95) | 57% (51/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 62% (8/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Lupeta J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Pi Ziyang ⚽,
- 40', Hu Rentian ↓, Yuan H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Guo Yi ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Leandro Alves (Pen),
- 57', Yuan H. 🟨,
- 62', Ogbu M. 🟨,
- 67', Pi Ziyang ↓, Lu K. ↑,
- 67', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Zhang Liang ↑,
- 67', Shi Zhe ↓, Song Bowei ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Lupeta J. ⚽, Yuan H. (A),
- 73', Zhang Liang 🟨,
- 74', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Wang Xijie ⚽, Yuan H. (A),
- 89', Isic T. ↓, Du Junpeng ↑,
- 90+1', Liu Pujin ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Lupeta J. ⚽, Yu Menghui (A),
- 90+6', Lupeta J. ↓, Horqinhuu H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Red Lions
27.8% | Draw
27.7% | Nanjing City
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↓
(3.42) |
3.31 ↑
(3.27) |
2.07 ↓
(2.11) |
8.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 10).
- Qingdao Red Lions has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nanjing City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nanjing City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Nanjing City?
Qingdao Red Lions has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Qingdao Red Lions?
Nanjing City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City were as follows:
22.06.2025
Nanjing City
-
Qingdao Red Lions
2:0
26.10.2024
Qingdao Red Lions
-
Nanjing City
2:1
15.06.2024
Nanjing City
-
Qingdao Red Lions
2:1
Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions
Latest results of Nanjing City
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 43:25 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Dingnan Ganlian | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 43 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42:38 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48:47 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Nanjing City | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 30 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Juniors | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 28 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 24:47 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20:50 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two
