Nanterre vs AS Monaco Basket, French Cup Basketball – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
83:88
10/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • French Cup - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6761
Field goals made
3129
Field goals %
46.27%47.54%
2-point field goals attempts
3635
2-point field goals made
2220
2-point field goals %
61.11%57.14%
3-point field goals attempts
3126
3-point field goals made
99
3-point field goals %
29.03%34.62%
Free throws attempts
1827
Free throws made
1221
Free throws %
66.7%77.8%
Offensive rebounds
1711
Defensive rebounds
2622
Total rebounds
4333
Assists
2618
Blocks
22
Turnovers
1713
Steals
57
Personal fouls
2719

Chances of winning


Nanterre
39.9%
AS Monaco Basket
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nanterre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nanterre's form might have worsened.
  • AS Monaco Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AS Monaco Basket's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanterre than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.04)

    1.77
    (1.69)
    -9.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 171.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    What is the prediction for Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 1st Half - Monaco (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 - Nanterre (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 - Nanterre (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Nanterre (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB, 1st Half - Nanterre (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Nanterre (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Nanterre (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Nanterre (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Nanterre (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: AS Monaco Basket will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AS Monaco Basket will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Nanterre (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Monaco (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanterre won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nanterre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1551:1749. (average 77.6:87.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nanterre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 619:663. (average 77.4:82.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket were as follows:
    15.02.2026 Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket 76:81
    21.12.2025 AS Monaco Basket - Nanterre 105:98
    05.04.2025 AS Monaco Basket - Nanterre 89:74
    11.01.2025 Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket 73:81
    16.03.2024 AS Monaco Basket - Nanterre 94:92
    Latest results of Nanterre
    07.03.2026 Le Mans - Nanterre 79:71
    20.02.2026 Nanterre - Le Mans 67:82
    15.02.2026 Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket 76:81
    08.02.2026 ASVEL Basket - Nanterre 64:75
    Latest results of AS Monaco Basket
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1ToulouseTarbes59 : 79
    2Les SablesPoitiers90 : 89
    3Fos-sur-MerHyeres-Toulon69 : 71
    4LyonsoSaint Vallier85 : 84
    8ByeDijon
    9ChartresEvreux92 : 94
    10ToursCaen90 : 81
    11RennesNantes91 : 92
    12AuroreQuimper72 : 77
    16ByeChalon/Saone
    17AngersChallans65 : 79
    18ByeLa Rochelle
    19MarmandePau-Orthez72 : 112
    20ByeBoulazac
    24ByeLe Mans
    25Charleville MezieresMetz81 : 90
    26OrchiesLevallois83 : 60
    27Chalons-ReimsASA84 : 70
    28ByeStrasbourg
    32ByeCholet
    33Le HavreRouen95 : 91
    34Loon PlageBerck/Rang Du Fliers79 : 72
    35FougeresCEP Lorient83 : 72
    36Ada BloisOrleans85 : 74
    40ByeJL Bourg
    41Pays SalonaisAntibes71 : 88
    42RoanneAix Maurienne79 : 83
    43St. ChamondVichy75 : 66
    44ByeLimoges
    45Le PortelBye
    46ByeGravelines-Dunkerque
    47PoissyVal de Seine90 : 86
    48ByeNanterre
    49Lyon-VilleurbanneBye
    53Boulogne sur MerDenain-Voltaire90 : 100
    54MulhouseBesancon71 : 60
    55Saint QuentinBye
    56ByeNancy
    57MonacoBye
    64ByeParis

    1/32-finals
    1TarbesLes Sables81 : 72
    2Hyeres-ToulonLyonso84 : 68
    4ByeDijon
    5EvreuxTours71 : 98
    6NantesQuimper89 : 87
    8ByeChalon/Saone
    9ChallansLa Rochelle78 : 98
    10Pau-OrthezBoulazac83 : 88
    12ByeLe Mans
    13MetzOrchies79 : 92
    14Chalons-ReimsStrasbourg75 : 77
    16ByeCholet
    17Le HavreLoon Plage72 : 64
    18FougeresAda Blois70 : 92
    20ByeJL Bourg
    21AntibesAix Maurienne84 : 81
    22St. ChamondLimoges82 : 80
    23Le PortelGravelines-Dunkerque77 : 71
    24PoissyNanterre70 : 100
    25Lyon-VilleurbanneBye
    27Denain-VoltaireMulhouse91 : 92
    28Saint QuentinNancy102 : 72
    29MonacoBye
    32ByeParis

    1/16-finals
    1TarbesHyeres-Toulon53 : 81
    2ByeDijon
    3ToursNantes99 : 69
    4ByeChalon/Saone
    5La RochelleBoulazac90 : 79
    6ByeLe Mans
    7OrchiesStrasbourg66 : 73
    8ByeCholet
    9Le HavreAda Blois74 : 82
    10ByeJL Bourg
    11AntibesSt. Chamond80 : 65
    12Le PortelNanterre60 : 121
    13Lyon-VilleurbanneBye
    14MulhouseSaint Quentin86 : 88
    15MonacoBye
    16ByeParis

    1/8-finals
    1Hyeres-ToulonDijon112 : 110
    2ToursChalon/Saone84 : 100
    3La RochelleLe Mans101 : 108
    4StrasbourgCholet93 : 85
    5Ada BloisJL Bourg83 : 78
    6AntibesNanterre70 : 97
    7Lyon-VilleurbanneSaint Quentin99 : 74
    8MonacoParis109 : 103

    Quarter-finals
    1Hyeres-ToulonChalon/Saone116 : 112
    2Le MansStrasbourg88 : 74
    3Ada BloisNanterre80 : 109
    4Lyon-VilleurbanneMonaco95 : 98

    Semi-finals
    1Hyeres-ToulonLe Mans73 : 82
    2NanterreMonaco83 : 88

    Final
    1Le MansMonaco