Nantes vs HCMP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • D1 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Nantes
55.4%
Draw
19.7%
HCMP
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 19.8% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 21.1% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • HCMP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HCMP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nantes - HCMP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.76)
    4.66
    (4.5)
    3.69
    (3)
    8.9%
    (12.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Nantes has had a series of home games.
    • Nantes could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nantes
    Latest results of HCMP
    20.01.2026 HCMP - Tours 6:2
    17.01.2026 Lyon - HCMP 8:1
    13.01.2026 HCMP - Épinal 7:6
    10.01.2026 Morzine-Avoriaz - HCMP 5:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Caen (1)Bye
    2Morzine-Avoriaz (8)Valenciennes (9)1 : 0
    3Neuilly Sur Marne (4)Bye
    4Lyon (5)Dunkerque Corsaires (12)1 : 0
    5Cholet (2)Bye
    6Chambery (7)Epinal (10)0 : 1
    7Strasbourg (3)Bye
    8Tours (6)Mont Blanc (11)1 : 0