Nantes vs HCMP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • D1 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Nantes
55.4%
Draw
19.7%
HCMP
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 19.8% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 21.1% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • HCMP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HCMP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nantes - HCMP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.76)
    4.66
    (4.5)
    3.69
    (3)
    8.9%
    (12.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Nantes has had a series of home games.
    • Nantes could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nantes
    Latest results of HCMP
    20.01.2026 HCMP - Tours 6:2
    17.01.2026 Lyon - HCMP 8:1
    13.01.2026 HCMP - Épinal 7:6
    10.01.2026 Morzine-Avoriaz - HCMP 5:2
    French D1 Ice Hockey Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Cholet261614591:6554
    2Caen261353595:7152
    3Strasbourg261243793:8247
    4Tours2612347107:9646
    5Neuilly Sur Marne2613121085:8543
    6Epinal2611231089:8940
    7Lyon25121210100:9139
    8Chambery2611221192:8739
    9Mont Blanc268621086:8538
    10Morzine-Avoriaz2610221287:8536
    11Valenciennes26102410102:10435
    12Dunkerque Corsaires269311377:7834
    13Villard269121458:8531
    14Nantes265551169:8430
    15Meudon267331383:9930
    16HCMP255321581:10923

          Promotion ~ D1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ D1 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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