Le Havre vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Le Havre - Nantes
Result
3:2
30/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 27
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 3, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.240.90
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
84% (330/395)83% (305/366)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
4.240.90
xG on target (xGOT)
3.471.25
Total shots
167
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3210
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
916
Passes
84% (330/395)83% (305/366)
Long passes
53% (21/40)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
71% (71/100)51% (38/74)
Crosses
29% (5/17)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.87
Fouls
169
Tackles
64% (14/22)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4749
Clearances Total
2927
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.253.47
Goals prevented
-0.750.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Toure A. (Pen),
  • 18', Pembele T. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Sow S. ⚽, Pallois N. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 1, Toure A. (Pen),
  • 45', Chirivella P. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Simon M. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
  • 62', Ayew A. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
  • 62', Sangante A. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
  • 64', Thomas S. 🟨,
  • 73', Kechta Y. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
  • 74', Soumare I. ↓, Koka ↑,
  • 80', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
  • 84', Toure A. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Pembele T. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Lepenant J. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Pallois N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
31.4%		Draw
29.6%		Nantes
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 29.1% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 30.1% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Le Havre - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.01 ↑
    (2.78)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.27)    		 2.43 ↓
    (2.6)    		 5.4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Nantes will win (votes: 27 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 54.7% – 83.7%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1.
    • Le Havre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Nantes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F. (Inactive) Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Zouaoui Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Castelletto J. (Red Card) Centonze F. (Injury) Kadewere T. (Muscle Injury) Lafont A. (Inactive) Zeze N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Sangante A. (Back Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Nantes were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Nantes - Le Havre 0:2
    14.04.2024 Le Havre - Nantes 0:1
    26.11.2023 Nantes - Le Havre 0:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    16.03.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Le Havre - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4 ✺
    16.02.2025 Le Havre - Nice 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Nantes
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 2:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1 ✺
    15.02.2025 Monaco - Nantes 7:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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