Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 12
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (400/467) | 71% (189/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (400/467) | 71% (189/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (109/152) | 63% (35/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (11/49) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Amian K. (A),
- 22', Abline M. 🟨,
- 27', Nego L. 🟨,
- 40', Kechta Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
- 60', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🟨,
- 63', Mambimbi F. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
- 63', Kechta Y. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
- 71', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 71', Guirassy B. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
- 78', Leroux L. 🟨,
- 79', Nego L. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 79', Ndiaye R. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
- 85', Abline M. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
- 90+2', Namli Y. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Lloris G. ⚽, Doucoure F. (A),
Chances of winning
Le Havre 48.7% | Draw 28.7% | Nantes 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Le Havre - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.02) |
3.33 ↑ (3.31) |
4.21 ↑ (3.85) |
4.4% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 36.9% – 74.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Nantes (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 50%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2.
- Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nantes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Le Havre is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lepenant J.
(Injury)
Lopes A.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Pizarro D.
(Inactive)
Samatta A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Hong Hyun-Seok
(Muscle Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Nantes?
Le Havre has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Le Havre?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Nantes were as follows:
30.03.2025
Le Havre
-
Nantes
3:2
24.11.2024
Nantes
-
Le Havre
0:2
14.04.2024
Le Havre
-
Nantes
0:1
26.11.2023
Nantes
-
Le Havre
0:0
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2