Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 23
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (131/208) | 85% (445/523) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (131/208) | 85% (445/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/46) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (42/82) | 57% (67/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Zouaoui Y. (Own goal),
- 14', Centonze F. 🟨,
- 32', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Ganago I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Doucoure F. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
- 46', Pembele T. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
- 46', Machado D. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
- 53', Ganago I. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 62', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
- 63', Boufal S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
- 63', Ali Youssef 🟨,
- 65', Cozza N. 🟨,
- 78', Tabibou D. 🟨,
- 81', Leroux L. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
- 82', Kechta Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', Vinette E. K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nantes 39% | Draw 29.1% | Le Havre 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nantes - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.26) |
3.27 (3.27) |
2.98 ↓ (3.15) |
5% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nantes - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 29.1% – 70.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Nantes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Nantes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
- Nantes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Le Havre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Abline M.
(Yellow Cards)
Amian K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Sangante A.
(Red Card)
Seko A.
(Ribs Injury)
Toure A.
(Knee Injury)
Youte Kinkoue E.
(Health problems)
Zohouri G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Vinette E. K.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Le Havre will win today's game, with odds of 2.96.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Le Havre?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Nantes?
Le Havre has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Le Havre were as follows:
08.11.2025
Le Havre
-
Nantes
1:1
30.03.2025
Le Havre
-
Nantes
3:2
24.11.2024
Nantes
-
Le Havre
0:2
14.04.2024
Le Havre
-
Nantes
0:1
26.11.2023
Nantes
-
Le Havre
0:0
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2