Result
3:2
30/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 3, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.24 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/395) | 83% (305/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.24 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/395) | 83% (305/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (21/40) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (71/100) | 51% (38/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.87 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 3.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Toure A. (Pen),
- 18', Pembele T. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Sow S. ⚽, Pallois N. (A),
- 27', 2 - 1, Toure A. (Pen),
- 45', Chirivella P. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 2, Simon M. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
- 62', Ayew A. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
- 62', Sangante A. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
- 64', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 73', Kechta Y. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 74', Soumare I. ↓, Koka ↑,
- 80', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 84', Toure A. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Pembele T. ⚽,
- 90+1', Lepenant J. ↓, Elia M. ↑,
- 90+3', Pallois N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
31.4% | Draw
29.6% | Nantes
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Le Havre - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.78) |
3.22 ↓
(3.27) |
2.43 ↓
(2.6) |
5.4%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Nantes will win (votes: 27 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 54.7% – 83.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1.
- Le Havre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Nantes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Le Havre: Ballo-Toure F.
(Inactive)
Kitala Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mosengo D. N.
(Knee Injury)
Zouaoui Y.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Nantes: Castelletto J.
(Red Card)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Kadewere T.
(Muscle Injury)
Lafont A.
(Inactive)
Zeze N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Sangante A.
(Back Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Nantes?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Le Havre?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Nantes were as follows:
24.11.2024
Nantes
-
Le Havre
0:2
14.04.2024
Le Havre
-
Nantes
0:1
26.11.2023
Nantes
-
Le Havre
0:0
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
