Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Ligue Women - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (334/421) | 72% (248/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (334/421) | 72% (248/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (29/58) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (51/89) | 50% (45/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Fleury L. ⚽, Bethi M. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Gbedjissi A. ⚽, Revelli M. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Toloba A. ⚽,
- 45+3', Cosson M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vagre N. ↓, Jeudy S. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 2, Gbedjissi A. ⚽,
- 62', Calba L. ↓, Khelifi L. ↑,
- 70', Babou M. ↓, El Koumir K. ↑,
- 74', Saoud I. ↓, Eloissaint R. ↑,
- 79', Bertrand C. ↓, David T. ↑,
- 84', Bethi M. ↓, van de Ven Z. ↑,
- 87', Gbedjissi A. ↓, Connesson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes
60.5% | Draw
22.2% | Lens
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Nantes - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.55) |
4.12 ↑
(3.91) |
5.28 ↑
(5.05) |
9.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lens?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Nantes will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women).
- Nantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lens is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nantes is the team to beat.
- We predict that Nantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lens?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Nantes?
Lens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lens were as follows:
12.05.2024
Nantes
-
Lens
1:0
French Division 1 Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon W ✔ | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 66:7 | 59 | 52 |
| 2 | Nantes W | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 34:12 | 22 | 36 |
| 4 | PSG W | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 35 |
| 5 | Fleury 91 W | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Dijon W | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | Strasbourg W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 21:28 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 | Le Havre W | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Marseille W | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 16 |
| 10 | Lens W | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 11 | St Etienne W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8:33 | -25 | 9 |
| 12 | Montpellier W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyon W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
