Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | K Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 43 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (237/297) | 90% (596/659) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (35/57) | 77% (132/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 31% (5/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 45% (9/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Chirivella P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Simon M. 🟨,
- 57', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 62', Sahraoui O. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 66', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
- 67', Bakker M. 🟨,
- 70', Leroux L. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
- 70', Thomas S. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 73', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
- 73', Haraldsson H. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 74', Castelletto J. 🟥,
- 77', Chirivella P. ↓, Pallois N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Simon M. (A),
- 85', Bakker M. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 90+3', Simon M. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
- 90+3', Abline M. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes
23.6% | Draw
28.2% | Lille
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Nantes - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.99 ↑
(3.54) |
3.39 ↑
(3.39) |
1.98 ↓
(2.12) |
5%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lille?
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Lille will win (votes: 38 - 73.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 61% – 85.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 0.
- Nantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lille is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Lille will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F.
(Injury)
Coquelin F.
(Calf Injury)
Kadewere T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
Zeze N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Douglas Augusto
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 12:34 (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lille?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Nantes?
Lille has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lille were as follows:
04.01.2025
Lille
-
Nantes
1:1
12.05.2024
Nantes
-
Lille
1:2
20.08.2023
Lille
-
Nantes
2:0
27.05.2023
Lille
-
Nantes
2:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
