Nantes vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Nantes - Lille
Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
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cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.34
Ball Possession
32%68%
Goal Attempts
1013
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
35
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
03
Hit the Woodwork
31
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
159
Offsides
02
Fouls
915
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
720
Touches in the Opposition Box
2043
Passes
80% (237/297)90% (596/659)
Passes in the final third
61% (35/57)77% (132/172)
Crosses
29% (5/17)31% (5/16)
Tackles
44% (7/16)45% (9/20)
Clearances Total
2318
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Chirivella P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Simon M. 🟨,
  • 57', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 62', Sahraoui O. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 66', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
  • 67', Bakker M. 🟨,
  • 70', Leroux L. , Coquelin F. ,
  • 70', Thomas S. , Mostafa Mohamed ,
  • 73', Gudmundsson G. , Ismaily ,
  • 73', Haraldsson H. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 74', Castelletto J. 🟥,
  • 77', Chirivella P. , Pallois N. ,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed , Simon M. (A),
  • 85', Bakker M. , Cabella R. ,
  • 90+3', Simon M. , Lepenant J. ,
  • 90+3', Abline M. , Doucoure S. ,

Chances of winning


Nantes
23.6%
Draw
28.2%
Lille
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 28.2% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 29% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Nantes - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.99
    (3.54)
    3.39
    (3.39)
    1.98
    (2.12)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Nantes - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Lille will win (votes: 38 - 73.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 61%85.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 0.
    • Nantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Lille will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F. (Injury) Coquelin F. (Calf Injury) Kadewere T. (Muscle Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury) Zeze N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Douglas Augusto (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 12:34 (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lille were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Lille - Nantes 1:1
    12.05.2024 Nantes - Lille 1:2
    20.08.2023 Lille - Nantes 2:0
    27.05.2023 Lille - Nantes 2:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    09.03.2025 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:1
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1
    15.02.2025 Monaco - Nantes 7:1
    07.02.2025 Nantes - Brest 0:2
    Latest results of Lille
    12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1
    22.02.2025 Lille - Monaco 2:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2