Nantes vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Nantes - Lille
Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.74
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
823
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
74% (220/296)86% (460/533)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.212.19
Total shots
823
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
419
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
2048
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
74% (220/296)86% (460/533)
Long passes
38% (21/56)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
59% (37/63)75% (123/164)
Crosses
24% (5/21)39% (9/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.64
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1215
Tackles
53% (9/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
3237
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.190.21
Goals prevented
0.190.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Haraldsson H. , Giroud O. (A),
  • 21', Meunier T. 🟨,
  • 43', Castro L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Mostafa Mohamed , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 63', Guirassy B. , Benhattab Y. ,
  • 68', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 69', Tabibou D. , Deuff B. ,
  • 72', Genesio B. 🟨,
  • 74', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
  • 76', Giroud O. , Igamane H. ,
  • 81', Perraud R. 🟨,
  • 82', Correia F. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 82', Perraud R. , Verdonk C. ,
  • 83', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu , Radakovic U. ,
  • 87', Awaziem C. 🟨,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Igamane H. , Sahraoui O. (A),
  • 90+1', Fernandez-Pardo M. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 90+1', Haraldsson H. , Gomes A. ,

Chances of winning


Nantes
18.7%
Draw
24.8%
Lille
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 25.8% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 25.3% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Nantes - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.17
    (4.28)
    3.87
    (3.67)
    1.7
    (1.82)
    4%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Lille will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 43.9%77.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lille is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Lahdo M. (Inactive) Lepenant J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Bentaleb N. (Inactive) Mukau N. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:34. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lille were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0
    04.01.2025 Lille - Nantes 1:1
    12.05.2024 Nantes - Lille 1:2
    20.08.2023 Lille - Nantes 2:0
    27.05.2023 Lille - Nantes 2:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    04.10.2025 Brest - Nantes 0:0
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Nantes 2:2
    20.09.2025 Nantes - Rennes 2:2
    13.09.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:0
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    Latest results of Lille
    02.10.2025 Roma - Lille 0:1
    28.09.2025 Lille - Lyon 0:1
    25.09.2025 Lille - Brann 2:1
    20.09.2025 Lens - Lille 3:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marseille860221:71418
    2PSG852116:8817
    3Strasbourg851217:10716
    4Lens851212:7516
    5Lyon850311:8315
    6Lille842216:10614
    7Monaco842217:13414
    8Toulouse841315:12313
    9Rennes825111:12-111
    10Nice832312:14-211
    11Paris FC931514:17-310
    12Brest823314:1409
    13Nantes92347:10-39
    14Lorient822412:19-78
    15Auxerre82157:12-57
    16Le Havre813410:16-66
    17Angers81344:12-86
    18Metz80265:20-152

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