Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | K Sport 2 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.19 | 1.34 |
Ball Possession |
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32% | 68% |
Goal Attempts |
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10 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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0 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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3 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 9 |
Offsides |
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0 | 2 |
Fouls |
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9 | 15 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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7 | 20 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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20 | 43 |
Passes |
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80% (237/297) | 90% (596/659) |
Passes in the final third |
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61% (35/57) | 77% (132/172) |
Crosses |
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29% (5/17) | 31% (5/16) |
Tackles |
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44% (7/16) | 45% (9/20) |
Clearances Total |
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23 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Chirivella P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Simon M. 🟨,
- 57', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 62', Sahraoui O. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 66', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
- 67', Bakker M. 🟨,
- 70', Leroux L. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
- 70', Thomas S. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 73', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
- 73', Haraldsson H. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 74', Castelletto J. 🟥,
- 77', Chirivella P. ↓, Pallois N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Simon M. (A),
- 85', Bakker M. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 90+3', Simon M. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
- 90+3', Abline M. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes 23.6% | Draw 28.2% | Lille 48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Nantes - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.99 ↑ (3.54) |
3.39 ↑ (3.39) |
1.98 ↓ (2.12) |
5% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lille?
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Lille will win (votes: 38 - 73.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 61% – 85.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 0.
- Nantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lille is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Lille will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F.
(Injury)
Coquelin F.
(Calf Injury)
Kadewere T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
Zeze N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Douglas Augusto
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 12:34 (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lille?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Nantes?
Lille has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lille were as follows:
04.01.2025
Lille
-
Nantes
1:1
12.05.2024
Nantes
-
Lille
1:2
20.08.2023
Lille
-
Nantes
2:0
27.05.2023
Lille
-
Nantes
2:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2