Result
1:1
26/01/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6, Moja TV |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App |
Montenegro | Arena Sport 9 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.98 | 1.07 |
Ball Possession |
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37% | 63% |
Goal Attempts |
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7 | 15 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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1 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 14 |
Offsides |
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2 | 3 |
Fouls |
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14 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 15 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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17 | 45 |
Passes |
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85% (299/351) | 89% (536/604) |
Passes in the final third |
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71% (55/78) | 80% (111/138) |
Crosses |
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16% (4/25) | 35% (7/20) |
Tackles |
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60% (12/20) | 53% (10/19) |
Clearances Total |
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23 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Nuamah E. ⚽, Tagliafico N. (A),
- 41', Pallois N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Mollet F. 🟨,
- 59', Clinton Mata 🟨,
- 64', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 64', Cherki R. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 69', Mollet F. ↓, Coco M. ↑,
- 69', Guirassy B. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 73', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
- 78', Cozza N. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 78', Amian K. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Simon M. (A),
- 90+3', Abline M. ↓, Gbamin J. ↑,
- 90+4', Coco M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nantes 23.4% | Draw 26.2% | Lyon 50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nantes - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.06 ↑ (3.3) |
3.62 ↑ (3.5) |
1.88 ↓ (2.05) |
5.4% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 12 - 23.5%). Lyon will win (votes: 27 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 39.2% – 66.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Nantes have a series of guest games.
- Lyon will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F.
(Injury)
Kadewere T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
Zeze N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Lyon: Maitland-Niles A.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15:35 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lyon?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Nantes?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lyon were as follows:
06.10.2024
Lyon
-
Nantes
2:0
07.04.2024
Nantes
-
Lyon
1:3
20.12.2023
Lyon
-
Nantes
1:0
05.04.2023
Nantes
-
Lyon
1:0
17.03.2023
Lyon
-
Nantes
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2