Result
1:1
26/01/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
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 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (299/351) | 89% (536/604) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (55/78) | 80% (111/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 35% (7/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 53% (10/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Nuamah E. ⚽, Tagliafico N. (A),
- 41', Pallois N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Mollet F. 🟨,
- 59', Clinton Mata 🟨,
- 64', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
- 64', Cherki R. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 69', Mollet F. ↓, Coco M. ↑,
- 69', Guirassy B. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 73', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maitland-Niles A. ↑,
- 78', Cozza N. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 78', Amian K. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Simon M. (A),
- 90+3', Abline M. ↓, Gbamin J. ↑,
- 90+4', Coco M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nantes
23.4% | Draw
26.2% | Lyon
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nantes - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(3.3) |
3.62 ↑
(3.5) |
1.88 ↓
(2.05) |
5.4%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 12 - 23.5%). Lyon will win (votes: 27 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 39.2% – 66.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Nantes have a series of guest games.
- Lyon will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F.
(Injury)
Kadewere T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mahamoud A.
(Knee Injury)
Zeze N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Lyon: Maitland-Niles A.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 15:35 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lyon?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Nantes?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lyon were as follows:
06.10.2024
Lyon
-
Nantes
2:0
07.04.2024
Nantes
-
Lyon
1:3
20.12.2023
Lyon
-
Nantes
1:0
05.04.2023
Nantes
-
Lyon
1:0
17.03.2023
Lyon
-
Nantes
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
