Lyon vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
30/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceLigue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.86
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
90% (553/613)72% (175/244)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.86
xG on target (xGOT)
2.520.12
Total shots
206
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
4510
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
914
Passes
90% (553/613)72% (175/244)
Long passes
69% (24/35)43% (29/67)
Passes in final third
81% (167/206)50% (22/44)
Crosses
19% (7/36)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
2.450.18
Throw-ins
723
Fouls
149
Tackles
46% (6/13)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1028
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.122.52
Goals prevented
-0.88-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Tati T. 🟨,
  • 43', Mwanga J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Abner Vinicius ,
  • 57', Morton T. 🟨,
  • 58', Lahdo M. , Guirassy B. ,
  • 59', El Arabi Y. , Deuff B. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Satriano M. , Sulc P. (A),
  • 72', Hateboer H. , Maitland-Niles A. ,
  • 72', de Carvalho M. , Moreira A. ,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Satriano M. , Moreira A. (A),
  • 78', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu , Radakovic U. ,
  • 85', Satriano M. , Karabec A. ,
  • 85', Morton T. , Mangala O. ,
  • 88', Lepenant J. 🟨,
  • 89', Tati T. , Mostafa Mohamed ,
  • 89', Lepenant J. , Centonze F. ,
  • 90', Tessmann T. , Merah K. ,

Chances of winning


Lyon
67.3%
Draw
19.8%
Nantes
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 20.9% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 20.3% 13.9%

Lyon - Nantes Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.43
(1.44)
4.84
(4.51)
7.44
(7)
4.2%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyon - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 41 - 82%). Nantes will win (votes: 5 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 71.4%92.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Lyon (1.86) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Lyon (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 17 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lyon has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lyon is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Clinton Mata (Injury) Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Kluivert R. (Ankle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Leroux L. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Nantes were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Nantes - Lyon 1:1
    06.10.2024 Lyon - Nantes 2:0
    07.04.2024 Nantes - Lyon 1:3
    20.12.2023 Lyon - Nantes 1:0
    05.04.2023 Nantes - Lyon 1:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    27.11.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lyon 0:6
    23.11.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 0:0
    09.11.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3
    06.11.2025 Betis - Lyon 2:0
    02.11.2025 Brest - Lyon 0:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    23.11.2025 Nantes - Lorient 1:1
    08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1:1
    02.11.2025 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    29.10.2025 Nantes - Monaco 3:5
    24.10.2025 Paris FC - Nantes 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

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