Nantes vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:1
07/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.731.21
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
23
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Passes
83% (368/442)82% (323/392)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.731.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.171.46
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
86
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2618
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1113
Passes
83% (368/442)82% (323/392)
Long passes
38% (15/39)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
70% (96/137)67% (70/104)
Crosses
27% (7/26)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.03
Throw ins
1923
Fouls
1311
Tackles
70% (14/20)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2237
Interceptions
122
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.460.17
Goals prevented
0.460.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Endrick 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
  • 37', Amian K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
  • 61', Endrick 🟥,
  • 63', Tabibou D. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
  • 66', Ali Youssef 🟨,
  • 72', Cozza N. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
  • 73', Amian K. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
  • 76', Greif D. 🟨,
  • 82', Kaba M. 🟨,
  • 87', Moreira A. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
  • 87', Kaba M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
  • 90+4', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
  • 90+9', Abline M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nantes
19.6%		Draw
25.4%		Lyon
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 24.2% 57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5% 24.2% 57.3%

Nantes - Lyon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.86 ↓
(5.11)		 3.76 ↓
(3.91)		 1.73 ↑
(1.65)		 5.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lyon?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Nantes (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Lyon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Lyon (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lyon (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lyon will win (49 of 54 users predict this - 90.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 98.47%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (32 of 32 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 2.8%). Lyon (votes: 35 - 97.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.
    • Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lyon is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Guilbert F. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Muscle Injury) Mangala O. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tagliafico N. (Ankle Injury) Tolisso C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Machado D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lyon: Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lyon were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0
    26.01.2025 Nantes - Lyon 1:1
    06.10.2024 Lyon - Nantes 2:0
    07.04.2024 Nantes - Lyon 1:3
    20.12.2023 Lyon - Nantes 1:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    31.01.2026 Lorient - Nantes 2:1 ✺
    25.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:4 ✺
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    04.02.2026 Lyon - Laval 2:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Lyon - Lille 1:0 ✺
    29.01.2026 Lyon - PAOK 4:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Metz - Lyon 2:5 ✺
    22.01.2026 Young Boys - Lyon 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG21163248:163251
    2Lens21161437:172049
    3Lyon21133534:201442
    4Marseille21123646:271939
    5Lille21103834:30433
    6Rennes2187631:34-331
    7Strasbourg2193934:27730
    8Toulouse2186731:24730
    9Angers2185822:25-329
    10Monaco2184932:33-128
    11Lorient2177727:33-628
    12Brest2175928:33-526
    13Le Havre2158818:26-823
    14Nice21651027:38-1123
    15Paris FC2157926:34-822
    16Auxerre21351314:29-1514
    17Nantes21351319:37-1814
    18Metz21341421:46-2513

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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