Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Ligue Women - Round 13
- Referee: Daupeux E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN App |
 Ecuador | DAZN App |
 Peru | DAZN App |
 Venezuela | DAZN App |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (281/378) | 75% (281/376) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (281/378) | 75% (281/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (86/151) | 62% (48/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Robillard C. 🟨,
- 12', Swierot J. 🟨,
- 29', Bataillard F. 🟨,
- 34', Hornemann S. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Calba L. ⚽, Toloba A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mossard J. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 46', Calba L. ↓, Saoud I. ↑,
- 49', Toloba A. 🟨,
- 60', Robillard C. ↓, Fleury L. ↑,
- 63', Gajic A. ↓, Mansuy H. ↑,
- 63', Johnson K. ↓, Pierre-Louis A. ↑,
- 69', Corboz R. ↓, Hermann L. M. ↑,
- 69', Hornemann S. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
- 77', Lamontagne A. ↓, Ali Nadjim N. ↑,
- 77', Toloba A. ↓, Khelifi L. ↑,
- 90+2', Machart-Rabanne J. ↓, Pasquereau J. ↑,
- 90+5', Cosme C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
24% | Draw
29.2% | Nantes
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Saint-Étienne - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↑
(3.37) |
3.11 ↓
(3.19) |
1.93 ↓
(2.07) |
10.3%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Nantes?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent form of Saint-Étienne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nantes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nantes might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Nantes?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Saint-Étienne?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Nantes were as follows:
06.09.2025
Nantes
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
01.02.2025
Saint-Étienne
-
Nantes
2:2
28.09.2024
Nantes
-
Saint-Étienne
0:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Division 1 Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon W | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 61:7 | 54 | 46 |
| 2 | Nantes W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 30:28 | 2 | 30 |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:12 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | Fleury 91 W | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | PSG W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:22 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Strasbourg W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Dijon W | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 8 | Le Havre W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:32 | -16 | 16 |
| 9 | Marseille W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 10 | St Etienne W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8:28 | -20 | 9 |
| 11 | Montpellier W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 9 |
| 12 | Lens W | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14:39 | -25 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women
