Result
0:2
30/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 51% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 75% (18/24) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 61% (14/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 83% (5/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 48% (14/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 58% (15/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 45% (5/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 68% (32/47) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 53% (29/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (41/102) | 60% (61/102) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 88% (7/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Naoki Nakagawa
31.3% | Andres Andrade
68.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naoki Nakagawa's form might have worsened.Andres Andrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andres Andrade's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andres Andrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naoki Nakagawa - Andres Andrade Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.5) |
|
1.35 ↓
(1.49) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 349. Andrade is ranked ATP: 306.
- Recent performances by Nakagawa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Andrade is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Andrade may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Andrade might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Andrade will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Naoki Nakagawa won against Andres Andrade?
Naoki Nakagawa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andres Andrade won against Naoki Nakagawa?
Andres Andrade has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naoki Nakagawa - Andres Andrade were as follows:
Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
Latest results of Andres Andrade
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Krueger M. (1) | Kypson P. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zink T. | Wu Tung-Lin (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noguchi R. | Zhou Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sell K. | Jubb P. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Galarneau A. (4) | Nanda G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Nakagawa N. | Kotzen A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ivashka I. (PR) | Andrade A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kozlov S. (Q) | Dougaz A. | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Escoffier A. (6) | Soriano Barrera A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Zheng M. (WC) | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Chung H. (LL) | Martin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Mejia N. | Shimizu Y. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.) (5) | Miyoshi K. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Milavsky D. (Q) | Bouzige M. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Maloney P. | Kicker N. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Jodar R. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kypson P. | Zink T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noguchi R. | Jubb P. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. (4) | Nakagawa N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Andrade A. | Kozlov S. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Soriano Barrera A. | Zheng M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Shimizu Y. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Miyoshi K. | Milavsky D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Maloney P. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Kypson P. | Noguchi R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakagawa N. | Andrade A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Zheng M. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Miyoshi K. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kypson P. | Andrade A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng M. | Draxl L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final
