Naoki Nakagawa vs Kaichi Uchida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Sapporo 2 Men Naoki Nakagawa - Kaichi Uchida
Result
1:2
12/09/2025 at 22:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo 2, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Naoki Nakagawa
45.3%
Kaichi Uchida
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naoki Nakagawa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaichi Uchida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Naoki Nakagawa - Kaichi Uchida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.25)

    1.76
    (1.54)
    4%
    (9.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 354. Uchida is ranked ATP: 512.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Nakagawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Uchida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Uchida will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakagawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Nakagawa N. (1)Katayama S.2 : 0
    2Tabata R.Shiraishi H.1 : 2
    3Matsumura R.Whitehouse M.0 : 2
    4Ichikawa T.Isomura K. (8)0 : 2
    5Takahashi Y. (4)Palan D.2 : 0
    6Takamisawa T.Nakagawa S.0 : 2
    7Ogura K.Kawahashi Y.2 : 0
    8Uchida K.Kumasaka T. (7)2 : 0
    9Tokuda R. (6)Tanuma R.2 : 0
    10Matsuoka H.Vithoontien L.2 : 0
    11Fukuda S.Brumm J.2 : 0
    12Saitoh K.Imamura M. (3)0 : 2
    13Broom C. (5)Kawanishi H.2 : 0
    14Kusuhara Y.Koyama H.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki Y.Takahata R.2 : 0
    16Honda N.Dellavedova M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nakagawa N. (1)Shiraishi H.2 : 0
    2Whitehouse M.Isomura K. (8)2 : 0
    3Takahashi Y. (4)Nakagawa S.0 : 2
    4Ogura K.Uchida K.0 : 2
    5Tokuda R. (6)Matsuoka H.2 : 0
    6Fukuda S.Imamura M. (3)0 : 2
    7Broom C. (5)Kusuhara Y.2 : 0
    8Mochizuki Y.Dellavedova M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Nakagawa N. (1)Whitehouse M.2 : 0
    2Nakagawa S.Uchida K.0 : 2
    3Tokuda R. (6)Imamura M. (3)2 : 0
    4Broom C. (5)Dellavedova M. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nakagawa N. (1)Uchida K.1 : 2
    2Tokuda R. (6)Broom C. (RET.) (5)1 : 0

    Final
    1Uchida K.Tokuda R. (6)1 : 2