Result
2:1
27/10/2024 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville (USA) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 48% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (44/63) | 68% (53/78) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (36/68) | 50% (22/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (25/78) | 30% (19/63) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 47% (32/68) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 36% (4/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (80/130) | 61% (75/122) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (47/122) | 38% (50/130) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (127/252) | 50% (125/252) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 59% (10/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 42% (8/19) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 50% (18/36) |
Chances of winning
Naoki Nakagawa
45.9% | Ozan Baris
54.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Ozan Baris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ozan Baris than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ozan Baris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Naoki Nakagawa - Ozan Baris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.85) |
|
1.72 ↓
(1.86) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Naoki Nakagawa - Ozan Baris?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nakagawa will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Baris will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakagawa: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 368. Baris is ranked ATP: 709.
- Nakagawa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Baris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Nakagawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Naoki Nakagawa won against Ozan Baris?
Naoki Nakagawa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ozan Baris won against Naoki Nakagawa?
Ozan Baris has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naoki Nakagawa - Ozan Baris were as follows:
Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
Latest results of Ozan Baris
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Eubanks C. (1) | Zahraj P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Basavareddy N. | Spizzirri E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rodesch C. (LL) | Nanda G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kodat T. (Q) | Jubb P. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Svajda Z. (4) | Dietrich D. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Nakagawa N. (Q) | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Couacaud E. | Quinn E. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Edmund K. (Q) | Kasnikowski M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Popko D. (7) | Opelka R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Ilagan A. (Q) | Smith C. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Rybakov A. (Q) | Holt B. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Trotter J. K. | Krueger M. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Kypson P. (6) | Tomic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Searle H. | Lajal M. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Mejia N. | Kudla D. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Zhukayev B. | Tien L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zahraj P. | Basavareddy N. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Rodesch C. | Jubb P. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Dietrich D. | Galarneau A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Quinn E. | Kasnikowski M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Opelka R. | Smith C. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Holt B. | Trotter J. K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Kypson P. (6) | Lajal M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Mejia N. | Tien L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Basavareddy N. | Rodesch C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Galarneau A. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Smith C. | Trotter J. K. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Lajal M. | Tien L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Basavareddy N. | Galarneau A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Trotter J. K. | Tien L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Basavareddy N. | Trotter J. K. | 0 : 2 |
