Naoki Nakagawa vs Ryo Tabata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
122
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
64%75%
1st serve points won
86% (25/29)53% (26/49)
2nd serve points won
69% (11/16)56% (9/16)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)70% (7/10)
1st return points won
47% (23/49)14% (4/29)
2nd return points won
44% (7/16)31% (5/16)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)0% (0/0)
Winners
2515
Unforced errors
1832
Net points won
60% (3/5)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
80% (36/45)54% (35/65)
Return Points Won
46% (30/65)20% (9/45)
Total Points Won
60% (66/110)40% (44/110)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Naoki Nakagawa
60.8%
Ryo Tabata
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naoki Nakagawa's performance.
  • Ryo Tabata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryo Tabata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Naoki Nakagawa - Ryo Tabata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.75)

    2.38
    (1.96)
    7.3%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Naoki Nakagawa - Ryo Tabata?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Naoki Nakagawa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Naoki Nakagawa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 723. Tabata is ranked ATP: 973.
    • Nakagawa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nakagawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Latest results of Ryo Tabata
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mackenzie J. (LL)Polmans M.1 : 2
    2Matsuoka H.Delaney Ja.2 : 0
    3Marinkov P. (WC)Zhang Z.0 : 2
    4Hewitt C. (WC)Uchiyama Y. (9)0 : 2
    5Sakamoto R. (3)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sinclair C. (Q)Hulme M. (LL)2 : 1
    7Tu L.Nakagawa N. (Q)2 : 1
    8Ellis B.Sun F. (7)2 : 1
    9Blanch Dar. (8)Denolly C.2 : 0
    10Weber A.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 1
    11Jasika O.Shiraishi H.2 : 1
    12Isomura K. (Q)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13Zhou Y. (6)Sach T. (WC)1 : 2
    14Bouzige M.Moriya H.0 : 2
    15Dellavedova M. (Q)Imamura M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Daniel T.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Polmans M.Matsuoka H.1 : 2
    2Zhang Z.Uchiyama Y. (9)2 : 0
    3Sakamoto R. (3)Sinclair C.2 : 0
    4Tu L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    5Blanch Dar. (8)Weber A.2 : 0
    6Jasika O. (RET.)Bolt A. (4)0 : 1
    7Sach T.Moriya H.1 : 2
    8Imamura M.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Matsuoka H.Zhang Z.0 : 2
    2Sakamoto R. (3)Tu L.2 : 0
    3Blanch Dar. (8)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4Moriya H.Sweeny D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Zhang Z.Sakamoto R. (3)2 : 0
    2Bolt A. (4)Moriya H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhang Z.Bolt A. (4)2 : 0