Naoki Nakagawa vs Yusuke Takahashi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
50
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
67%66%
1st serve points won
74% (25/34)72% (33/46)
2nd serve points won
47% (8/17)63% (15/24)
Break Points Saved
1/44/5
1st return points won
30% (14/46)29% (10/34)
2nd return points won
38% (9/24)53% (9/17)
Break Points Converted
1/53/4
Winners
158
Unforced errors
2924
Net points won
55% (6/11)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
65% (32/49)66% (44/67)
Return Points Won
34% (23/67)35% (17/49)
Total Points Won
47% (55/116)53% (61/116)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total games won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Naoki Nakagawa
55.6%
Yusuke Takahashi
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Yusuke Takahashi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naoki Nakagawa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yusuke Takahashi than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yusuke Takahashi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.65)

    2.08
    (2.03)
    8.4%
    (9.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 678. Takahashi is ranked ATP: 504.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Takahashi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakagawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Yusuke Takahashi - Naoki Nakagawa 0:2
    18.11.2023 Yusuke Takahashi - Naoki Nakagawa 0:2
    05.11.2023 Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi 2:0
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Latest results of Yusuke Takahashi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)Oki Y. (WC)1 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Matsuoka H.Samrej K.2 : 0
    4Broady L.Uchida K. (5)2 : 0
    5Zhou Y. (4)Takahashi Y. (LL)2 : 0
    6Overbeck C. E. (Q)Milic O. (NG)0 : 2
    7Ellis B. (PR)Honda N. (WC)2 : 1
    8Jones M.Sun F. (8)2 : 0
    9Wendelken H. (7)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    10Nam Ji S. (Q)Shick B.0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Tu L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tokuda R.Hsu Y. H. (3)0 : 2
    13Noguchi R. (6)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    14Taguchi R. (WC)Jubb P.1 : 2
    15Moriya H. (Q)Matsuda K. (Q)2 : 1
    16Trotter J. K.Added D. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Oki Y. (RET.)Ilagan A.0 : 1
    2Matsuoka H.Broady L.1 : 2
    3Zhou Y. (4)Milic O.0 : 2
    4Ellis B.Jones M.2 : 1
    5Wendelken H. (7)Shick B.2 : 0
    6Jasika O.Hsu Y. H. (3)1 : 2
    7Wu Tung-LinJubb P.2 : 1
    8Moriya H.Trotter J. K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilagan A.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Milic O. (RET.)Ellis B.1 : 0
    3Wendelken H. (7)Hsu Y. H. (3)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinMoriya H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Broady L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    2Wendelken H. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1

    Final
    1Broady L.Wendelken H. (7)