Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 13:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
5	13
Double Faults
4	1
1st serve percentage
69%	57%
1st serve points won
76% (38/50)	86% (30/35)
2nd serve points won
50% (11/22)	42% (11/26)
Break Points Saved
4/4	3/5
1st return points won
14% (5/35)	24% (12/50)
2nd return points won
58% (15/26)	50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
2/5	0/4
Service Points Won
69% (48/70)	67% (40/60)
Return Points Won
33% (20/60)	31% (22/70)
Total Points Won
52% (68/130)	48% (62/130)
Last 10 balls
6	4
Match points saved
0	1
Service games won
100% (11/11)	82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)	0% (0/11)
Total games won
59% (13/22)	41% (9/22)

Chances of winning

Talia Gibson
35.1%

Naomi Osaka
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talia Gibson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Talia Gibson - Naomi Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.8)		1.47 ↑ (1.42)	4.8% (6.1%)

What is the prediction for Talia Gibson - Naomi Osaka?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gibson will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gibson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Gibson is ranked WTA: 68. Osaka is ranked WTA: 15.
Now, both players are in good form.
Gibson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gibson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Talia Gibson won against Naomi Osaka?

Talia Gibson has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Naomi Osaka won against Talia Gibson?

Naomi Osaka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Talia Gibson - Naomi Osaka were as follows:

30.06.2025 Naomi Osaka - Talia Gibson 2:0

Latest results of Talia Gibson

19.03.2026 Sara Bejlek - Talia Gibson 0:2 ✺

17.03.2026 Kamilla Rakhimova - Talia Gibson 0:2 ✺

16.03.2026 Ekaterine Gorgodze - Talia Gibson 0:2 ✺

12.03.2026 Linda Noskova - Talia Gibson 2:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Talia Gibson - Jasmine Paolini 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Naomi Osaka

10.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Naomi Osaka 1:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Naomi Osaka 0:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Naomi Osaka - Maddison Inglis Inglis M. walkover ✺

22.01.2026 Naomi Osaka - Sorana Cirstea 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Li A.	Birrell K. (Q)	2 : 1
3	McNally C.	Masarova R. (Q)	2 : 0
4	Bye	Wang Xin. (29)
5	Zheng Q. (23)	Bye
6	Brady J. (WC)	Stephens S. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Ruse G.	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Keys M. (15)
9	Svitolina E. (9)	Bye
10	Jones E. (WC)	Fruhvirtova L. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Baptiste H.	Maria T.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Samsonova L. (19)
13	Ostapenko J. (25)	Bye
14	Yastremska D.	Krueger A. (WC)	2 : 1
15	Sun L. (Q)	Townsend T. (WC)	0 : 2
16	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
17	Rybakina E. (3)	Bye
18	Tjen J.	Putintseva Y.	1 : 2
19	Sierra S.	Rakhimova K. (LL)	0 : 2
20	Bye	Kostyuk M. (27)
21	Jovic I. (18)	Bye
22	Badosa P.	Sasnovich A. (Q)	2 : 0
23	Bejlek S.	Gibson T. (Q)	0 : 2
24	Bye	Osaka N. (16)
25	Alexandrova E. (11)	Bye
26	Tagger L. (WC)	Seidel E. (LL)	2 : 1
27	Golubic V. (Q)	Stearns P.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Cristian J. (34)
29	Fernandez L. (26)	Bye
30	Arango E.	Selekhmeteva O.	1 : 2
31	Jones F.	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Pegula J. (5)
33	Anisimova A. (6)	Bye
34	Waltert S.	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
35	Lys E.	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	0 : 2
36	Bye	Bucsa C. (30)
37	Shnaider D. (20)	Bye
38	Valentova T.	Volynets K. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Sonmez Z.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Bencic B. (12)
41	Noskova L. (14)	Bye
42	Zhang S.	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
43	Galfi D. (Alt)	Kalieva E. (Q)	1 : 2
44	Bye	Mertens E. (21)
45	Sakkari M. (33)	Bye
46	Parks A.	Kraus S. (Q)	2 : 0
47	Semenistaja D. (LL)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
49	Andreeva M. (8)	Bye
50	Kessler M.	Frech M.	2 : 1
51	Vidmanova D. (WC)	Jacquemot E.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Bouzkova M. (32)
53	Kalinskaya A. (22)	Bye
54	Zakharova A. (Q)	Bondar A.	2 : 1
55	Kenin S.	Blinkova A.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mboko V. (10)
57	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
58	Siniakova K.	Osorio C.	0 : 2
59	Boulter K.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Tauson C. (17)
61	Eala A. (31)	Bye
62	Siegemund L.	Marcinko P.	2 : 0
63	Linette M.	Gracheva V.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Li A.	2 : 0
2	McNally C.	Wang Xin. (29)	2 : 1
3	Zheng Q. (23)	Stephens S.	2 : 0
4	Ruse G.	Keys M. (15)	0 : 2
5	Svitolina E. (9)	Jones E.	2 : 0
6	Baptiste H.	Samsonova L. (19)	2 : 0
7	Ostapenko J. (25)	Yastremska D.	2 : 0
8	Townsend T.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
9	Rybakina E. (3)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
10	Rakhimova K.	Kostyuk M. (27)	0 : 2
11	Jovic I. (18)	Badosa P.	2 : 0
12	Gibson T.	Osaka N. (16)	2 : 0
13	Alexandrova E. (11)	Tagger L.	2 : 0
14	Stearns P.	Cristian J. (34)	0 : 2
15	Fernandez L. (26)	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 1
16	Jones F. (RET.)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 1
17	Anisimova A. (6)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 1
18	Starodubtseva Y.	Bucsa C. (RET.) (30)	1 : 0
19	Shnaider D. (20)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
20	Sonmez Z.	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
21	Noskova L. (14)	Cirstea S.	1 : 2
22	Kalieva E.	Mertens E. (21)	0 : 2
23	Sakkari M. (33)	Parks A.	0 : 2
24	Cocciaretto E.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
25	Andreeva M. (8)	Kessler M.	2 : 1
26	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M. (32)	0 : 2
27	Kalinskaya A. (22)	Zakharova A.	1 : 2
28	Blinkova A.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
29	Muchova K. (13)	Osorio C.	2 : 1
30	Boulter K.	Tauson C. (RET.) (17)	1 : 1
31	Eala A. (31)	Siegemund L.	2 : 1
32	Linette M.	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	McNally C.	2 : 0
2	Zheng Q. (23)	Keys M. (15)	2 : 1
3	Svitolina E. (9)	Baptiste H.	0 : 2
4	Ostapenko J. (25)	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
5	Rybakina E. (3)	Kostyuk M. (27)	2 : 0
6	Jovic I. (18)	Gibson T.	0 : 2
7	Alexandrova E. (11)	Cristian J. (34)	1 : 2
8	Fernandez L. (26)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
9	Anisimova A. (6)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
10	Shnaider D. (20)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
11	Cirstea S.	Mertens E. (21)	2 : 0
12	Parks A.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (8)	Bouzkova M. (32)	2 : 0
14	Zakharova A.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (13)	Boulter K.	2 : 0
16	Eala A. (31)	Linette M.	2 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (23)	2 : 0
2	Baptiste H.	Ostapenko J. (25)	2 : 0
3	Rybakina E. (3)	Gibson T.	2 : 0
4	Cristian J. (34)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
5	Anisimova A. (6)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
6	Cirstea S.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (8)	Mboko V. (10)	1 : 2
8	Muchova K. (13)	Eala A. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (3)	Pegula J. (5)	2 : 1
3	Bencic B. (12)	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
4	Mboko V. (10)	Muchova K. (13)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rybakina E. (3)	2 : 0
2	Gauff C. (4)	Muchova K. (13)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (4)

2 : 1