Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- USL League One - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/446) | 75% (263/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/446) | 75% (263/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (38/82) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (122/163) | 57% (59/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
- 42', Cisneros J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zarokostas S. ↓, Calixtro G. ↑,
- 46', Cerro I. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Tekiela K. ⚽, Ritchie S. (A),
- 70', Skelton J. 🟨,
- 71', Johnson C. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,
- 76', Cisneros J. ↓, Prpa L. ↑,
- 85', Torrellas M. ↓, Garrett I. ↑,
- 90+9', Brown J. ↓, Bull ↑,
Chances of winning
One Knoxville
47.4% | Draw
29.6% | Naples
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for One Knoxville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-1%)
One Knoxville - Naples Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.83) |
3.11 ↓
(3.41) |
3.99 ↑
(3.93) |
8.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for One Knoxville - Naples?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): One Knoxville will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One Knoxville is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Naples has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.
- In this match, One Knoxville is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that One Knoxville will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, One Knoxville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has One Knoxville won against Naples?
One Knoxville has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against One Knoxville?
Naples has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Naples were as follows:
27.08.2025
One Knoxville
-
Naples
0:0
19.04.2025
Naples
-
One Knoxville
0:1
Latest results of One Knoxville
USL League One Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Naples | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Union Omaha | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Westchester SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Greenville | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | New York Cosmos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Boise | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Charlotte Independ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Sarasota Paradise | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | AV Alta | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
