One Knoxville vs Naples – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.93
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
81% (362/446)75% (263/349)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.10
Total shots
168
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
81% (362/446)75% (263/349)
Long passes
46% (38/82)38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
75% (122/163)57% (59/104)
Crosses
29% (6/21)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.64
Throw-ins
1729
Fouls
1411
Tackles
87% (13/15)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4648
Clearances
2433
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.101.03
Goals prevented
0.100.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
  • 42', Cisneros J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zarokostas S. , Calixtro G. ,
  • 46', Cerro I. , Ferrin A. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Tekiela K. , Ritchie S. (A),
  • 70', Skelton J. 🟨,
  • 71', Johnson C. , Kelly-Rosales A. ,
  • 76', Cisneros J. , Prpa L. ,
  • 85', Torrellas M. , Garrett I. ,
  • 90+9', Brown J. , Bull ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


One Knoxville
47.4%
Draw
29.6%
Naples
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 26.8% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.4% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for One Knoxville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • One Knoxville - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.83)
    3.11
    (3.41)
    3.99
    (3.93)
    8.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for One Knoxville - Naples?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): One Knoxville will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One Knoxville is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Naples has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, One Knoxville is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that One Knoxville will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, One Knoxville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Naples were as follows:
    27.08.2025 One Knoxville - Naples 0:0
    19.04.2025 Naples - One Knoxville 0:1
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    Latest results of Naples
    01.11.2025 Naples - Union Omaha 1:0
    18.10.2025 Naples - Spokane Velocity 0:1
    12.10.2025 Westchester SC - Naples 2:0
    05.10.2025 Union Omaha - Naples 1:0
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples32105:237
    2Spokane Velocity22004:136
    3Portland Hearts of Pine21103:124
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves11002:113
    5Forward Madison11002:113
    6One Knoxville21014:403
    7Union Omaha21013:303
    8Boise21013:303
    9AV Alta20201:102
    10Corpus Christi FC10102:201
    11Charlotte Independ10101:101
    12Westchester SC20113:4-11
    13Sarasota Paradise20112:3-11
    14Richmond Kickers20111:2-11
    15Fort Wayne20112:4-21
    16Greenville10011:2-10
    17New York Cosmos20022:6-40

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)