Barcelona vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Barcelona - Napoli
Result
3:1
12/03/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
italyItalyCanale 5, Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Barcelona
53.7%
Draw
23.9%
Napoli
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 24.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.8% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Barcelona - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.76)
    4.03
    (3.94)
    4.3
    (4.43)
    3.8%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (81 of 101 users predict this - 80.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.43%87.97%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Napoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Barcelona is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Muscle Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Pedri (Injury) de Jong F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Zielinski P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Alonso M. (Back Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Napoli were as follows:
    21.02.2024 Napoli - Barcelona 1:1
    Latest results of Barcelona
    08.03.2024 Barcelona - Mallorca 1:0
    24.02.2024 Barcelona - Getafe 4:0
    21.02.2024 Napoli - Barcelona 1:1
    17.02.2024 Celta de Vigo - Barcelona 1:2
    Latest results of Napoli
    08.03.2024 Napoli - Torino 1:1
    03.03.2024 Napoli - Juventus 2:1
    28.02.2024 Sassuolo - Napoli 1:6
    25.02.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1
    21.02.2024 Napoli - Barcelona 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV