Barcelona vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Barcelona - Napoli
Result
3:1
12/03/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
italyItalyCanale 5, Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Barcelona
53.7%
Draw
23.9%
Napoli
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 24.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.8% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Barcelona - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.76)
    4.03
    (3.94)
    4.3
    (4.43)
    3.8%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Univision, TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Barcelona - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (81 of 101 users predict this - 80.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.43%87.97%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Napoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Barcelona is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Muscle Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Pedri (Injury) de Jong F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Zielinski P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Alonso M. (Back Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Napoli were as follows:
    21.02.2024 Napoli - Barcelona 1:1
    Latest results of Barcelona
    08.03.2024 Barcelona - Mallorca 1:0
    24.02.2024 Barcelona - Getafe 4:0
    21.02.2024 Napoli - Barcelona 1:1
    17.02.2024 Celta de Vigo - Barcelona 1:2
    Latest results of Napoli
    08.03.2024 Napoli - Torino 1:1
    03.03.2024 Napoli - Juventus 2:1
    28.02.2024 Sassuolo - Napoli 1:6
    25.02.2024 Cagliari - Napoli 1:1
    21.02.2024 Napoli - Barcelona 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce