Result
4:2
29/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo |
 France | beIN Sports |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Luxembourg | Club RTL |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Romania | Orange Sport, Prima Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports |
Chances of winning
Real Madrid
53.4% | Draw
23.5% | Napoli
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Real Madrid - Napoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.71) |
4.07 ↑
(4.06) |
4.19 ↓
(4.6) |
3.9%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TUDN
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Napoli?
Users Predictions:
95 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 74 - 77.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 5 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 16.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 69.6% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Real is a favorite.
- There will not play in Real: Camavinga E.
(Knee Injury)
Courtois T.
(Knee Injury)
Guler A.
(Thigh Injury)
Militao E.
(Knee Injury)
Tchouameni A.
(Foot Injury)
Vinicius Junior
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Napoli: Lindstrom J.
(Ankle Injury)
Olivera M.
(Knee Injury)
Rui M.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Real: Arrizabalaga K.
(Groin Injury)
Modric L.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Real won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Napoli?
Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Real Madrid?
Napoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Napoli were as follows:
03.10.2023
Napoli
-
Real Madrid
2:3
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
