Real Madrid vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Luxembourg	Club RTL
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Orange Sport, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
53.4%

Draw
23.5%

Napoli
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.5%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

22.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Real Madrid - Napoli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)	4.07 ↑ (4.06)	4.19 ↓ (4.6)	3.9% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : TUDN

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Napoli?

Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 74 - 77.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 5 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 16.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 69.6% – 86.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Real is a favorite.
There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Guler A. (Thigh Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Napoli: Lindstrom J. (Ankle Injury) Olivera M. (Knee Injury) Rui M. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Real: Arrizabalaga K. (Groin Injury) Modric L. (Muscle Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Real won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Napoli?

Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Real Madrid?

Napoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Napoli were as follows:

03.10.2023 Napoli - Real Madrid 2:3

Latest results of Real Madrid

26.11.2023 Cádiz - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺

11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1 ✺

08.11.2023 Real Madrid - Braga 3:0 ✺

05.11.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 0:0 ✺

28.10.2023 Barcelona - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Napoli

25.11.2023 Atalanta - Napoli 1:2 ✺

12.11.2023 Napoli - Empoli 0:1 ✺

08.11.2023 Napoli - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺

04.11.2023 Salernitana - Napoli 0:2 ✺

29.10.2023 Napoli - Milan 2:2 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)