Real Madrid vs Napoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Napoli
Result
4:2
29/11/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFrancebeIN Sports
hungaryHungarySport 1
luxembourgLuxembourgClub RTL
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 3
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
53.4%
Draw
23.5%
Napoli
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 23.5% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 22.8% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid - Napoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.71)
    4.07
    (4.06)
    4.19
    (4.6)
    3.9%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TUDN
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Napoli?
  • Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 74 - 77.9%). Napoli will win (votes: 5 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 16.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 69.6%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Guler A. (Thigh Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Napoli: Lindstrom J. (Ankle Injury) Olivera M. (Knee Injury) Rui M. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Arrizabalaga K. (Groin Injury) Modric L. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Real won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Napoli were as follows:
    03.10.2023 Napoli - Real Madrid 2:3
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    26.11.2023 Cádiz - Real Madrid 0:3
    11.11.2023 Real Madrid - Valencia 5:1
    08.11.2023 Real Madrid - Braga 3:0
    28.10.2023 Barcelona - Real Madrid 1:2
    Latest results of Napoli
    25.11.2023 Atalanta - Napoli 1:2
    12.11.2023 Napoli - Empoli 0:1
    08.11.2023 Napoli - Union Berlin 1:1
    04.11.2023 Salernitana - Napoli 0:2
    29.10.2023 Napoli - Milan 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce