Result
2:2
16/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Segrt J. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (132/218) | 82% (357/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (132/218) | 82% (357/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (40/79) | 72% (111/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 33% (10/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Silue D. Y. ⚽, Cvetkovic A. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Cvetkovic A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Bastajic N. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 2, Lutovac A. ⚽,
- 61', Sremcevic U. ↓, Tasovski V. ↑,
- 63', Hoard E. ↓, Addo E. ↑,
- 66', Krstic F. 🟨,
- 75', Majdevac A. ↓, Ilic J. ↑,
- 75', Krstic F. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Lutovac A. ⚽, Ignjatovic U. (A),
- 80', Sljivic J. ↓, Kabic U. ↑,
- 89', Momcilovic M. ↓, Halabrin F. ↑,
- 89', Gobeljic M. ↓, Wouter T. ↑,
- 90+2', Stojanovic U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
20.7% | Draw
26.3% | OFK Beograd
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OFK Beograd's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-4%)
Napredak Kruševac - OFK Beograd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.44 ↑
(3.52) |
3.47 ↓
(3.53) |
1.75 ↓
(1.99) |
8.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - OFK Beograd?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. OFK (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +0.5 - Napredak (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
OFK Beograd will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Napredak (votes: 1 - 33.3%). OFK (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1.
- Napredak is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- OFK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Napredak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, OFK is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against OFK Beograd?
Napredak Kruševac has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Napredak Kruševac?
OFK Beograd has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - OFK Beograd were as follows:
18.10.2025
OFK Beograd
-
Napredak Kruševac
4:0
09.02.2025
OFK Beograd
-
Napredak Kruševac
0:2
31.08.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
OFK Beograd
1:3
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 80:20 | 60 | 66 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 55 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Radnicki Nis | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | TSC | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Javor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Mladost | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 19:44 | -25 | 27 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24:57 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
