Result
4:0
18/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 12
- Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (401/476) | 74% (233/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.85 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (401/476) | 74% (233/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/114) | 56% (41/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 3.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Bastajic N. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Enem J. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Enem J. ⚽, Prutsev E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bukorac S. ↓, Ignjatovic U. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 0, Momcilovic M. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
- 55', Stojanovic U. 🟨,
- 58', Gobeljic M. 🟨,
- 62', Djermanovic A. 🟨,
- 62', Bogdanovski N. 🟨,
- 63', Vukajlovic N. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
- 63', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
- 65', Addo H. ↓, Alba H. ↑,
- 71', 4 - 0, Alba H. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
- 72', Bubanj M. ↓, Kotlajic D. ↑,
- 74', Enem J. ↓, Knezevic N. ↑,
- 74', Gobeljic M. ↓, Despotovski S. ↑,
- 78', Bastajic N. ↓, Hajdin S. ↑,
- 81', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Kabic U. ↑,
- 81', Cvetkovic A. ↓, Markovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
OFK Beograd
64.7% | Draw
21.5% | Napredak Kruševac
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OFK Beograd's performance.Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OFK Beograd that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.74) |
5.59 ↑
(3.6) |
8.69 ↑
(5.1) |
-16.8%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. OFK will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Napredak will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napredak: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napredak Kruševac will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFK won 4.
- OFK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Napredak has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- OFK could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, OFK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Napredak Kruševac?
OFK Beograd has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against OFK Beograd?
Napredak Kruševac has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFK Beograd - Napredak Kruševac were as follows:
09.02.2025
OFK Beograd
-
Napredak Kruševac
0:2
31.08.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
OFK Beograd
1:3
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
