Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 24
- Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/495) | 69% (182/265) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/495) | 69% (182/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (37/65) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (130/168) | 51% (34/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/37) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Sremcevic U. ⚽, Bogdanovski N. (A),
- 26', Kosiah A. 🟨,
- 34', Bukorac S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Quarshie E. ↓, Ivanovic I. ↑,
- 46', Kosiah A. ↓, Novakovic M. ↑,
- 46', Abubakar S. ↓, Zoric L. ↑,
- 57', Skrobonja N. ↓, Tasovski V. ↑,
- 57', Kouadio C. ↓, Stojanovic L. ↑,
- 64', Krstic F. ↓, Miletic V. ↑,
- 76', Bukorac S. 🟨,
- 76', Ivanovic I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Vulic M. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Pejovic A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', Vulic M. 🟥,
- 81', Tasovski V. ↓, Jelicic I. ↑,
- 81', Sremcevic U. ↓, Bubanj M. ↑,
- 82', Ilic J. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 1, Novakovic M. ⚽,
- 90', Pejovic A. ↓, Raskovic S. ↑,
- 90+5', Zoric L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radnik Surdulica
59.1% | Draw
24.9% | Napredak Kruševac
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.53) |
3.67 ↑
(3.66) |
5.53 ↓
(6.19) |
8.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac?
Users Predictions:
Radnik Surdulica will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 3.
- Recent performances by Radnik have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Napredak has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Napredak has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Radnik is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Napredak Kruševac?
Radnik Surdulica has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Radnik Surdulica?
Napredak Kruševac has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radnik Surdulica - Napredak Kruševac were as follows:
19.09.2025
Napredak Kruševac
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:3
14.07.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:0
14.04.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:2
11.11.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:2
12.04.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:0
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
