Result
1:3
19/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (312/383) | 72% (244/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.22 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.91 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 34 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 24 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (312/383) | 72% (244/340) |
| Long passes |
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| 65% (31/48) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (87/116) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
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| 26% (8/31) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.77 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Tackles |
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| 75% (12/16) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 71 | 48 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.03 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, Owusu D. ⚽,
- 13', 0 - 2, Bogdanovic V. ⚽,
- 13', Bukorac S. ↓, Subert I. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 2, Empis P. (Own goal),
- 45+1', Subert I. 🟨,
- 45+2', Balevic L. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 3, Owusu D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zlicic L. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
- 52', Toseski M. 🟨,
- 58', Vulic M. 🟨,
- 67', Miletic V. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
- 70', Novakovic M. ↓, Raskovic S. ↑,
- 70', Empis P. ↓, Filipovic U. ↑,
- 72', Owusu D. 🟨,
- 74', Jovanovic D. 🟨,
- 90', Owusu D. ↓, Filimonovic U. ↑,
- 90+2', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Chinedu S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
39.3% | Draw
30.5% | Radnik Surdulica
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napredak Kruševac's form might have worsened.Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napredak Kruševac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(1.8) |
3.29 ↓
(3.6) |
3.33 ↓
(4.6) |
-0.5%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica?
Users Predictions:
Napredak Kruševac will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1.
- In recent matches, Napredak has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Radnik is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Napredak will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Radnik Surdulica?
Napredak Kruševac has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Napredak Kruševac?
Radnik Surdulica has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica were as follows:
14.07.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:0
14.04.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Radnik Surdulica
0:2
11.11.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:2
12.04.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:0
15.10.2022
Napredak Kruševac
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 32:6 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | Partizan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:10 | 17 | 22 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | TSC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Mladost | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Javor | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Radnik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | IMT Novi Beograd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Napredak | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
