Result
2:1
07/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Ilic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (149/246) | 75% (295/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (149/246) | 75% (295/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (19/66) | 50% (40/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (48/88) | 64% (76/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Zlicic L. 🟨,
- 20', Grgic D. 🟨,
- 20', Krstic F. 🟨,
- 23', Lutovac A. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Saric M. ⚽, Hajdin S. (A),
- 38', Majdevac A. 🟨,
- 38', Vidojevic N. 🟨,
- 45+8', Savic V. 🟨,
- 45+9', Jasper S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Saric M. ↓, Cubra D. ↑,
- 60', Karikari K. 🟨,
- 63', Milikic M. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 0, Majdevac A. ⚽, Lutovac A. (A),
- 73', 2 - 1, Grgic D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Krstic F. ↓, Bukorac S. ↑,
- 75', Hajdin S. 🟨,
- 79', Vulic M. ↓, Miletic V. ↑,
- 82', Knezevic B. ↓, Jevremovic J. ↑,
- 83', Ignjatovic U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
25.2% | Draw
27.9% | Železničar Pančevo
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Železničar Pančevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Železničar Pančevo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Napredak Kruševac - Železničar Pančevo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.6) |
3.28 ↓
(3.45) |
1.97 ↓
(2.05) |
8.9%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - Železničar Pančevo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Železničar P (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Železničar Pančevo will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Železničar Pančevo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Železničar P (votes: 11 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0.
- Recent form of Napredak has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Železničar P has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Napredak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Železničar P is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Železničar Pančevo?
Napredak Kruševac has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Železničar Pančevo won against Napredak Kruševac?
Železničar Pančevo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Železničar Pančevo were as follows:
04.08.2025
Železničar Pančevo
-
Napredak Kruševac
0:0
12.05.2025
Železničar Pančevo
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:1
30.11.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Železničar Pančevo
1:2
27.07.2024
Železničar Pančevo
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:1
26.11.2023
Železničar Pančevo
-
Napredak Kruševac
2:1
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of Železničar Pančevo
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 84:21 | 63 | 72 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 62 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 58 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 42:30 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet ✔ | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 39:39 | 0 | 39 |
| 7 | Cukaricki ✔ | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Radnik | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:35 | 2 | 38 |
| 9 | IMT Novi Beograd ✔ | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 37 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | TSC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 34 |
| 12 | Javor ✔ | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis ✔ | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 23:46 | -23 | 32 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 26:65 | -39 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Cukaricki is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
IMT Novi Beograd is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
TSC is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Javor is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Radnicki Nis is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
