Naranjeros de Hermosillo vs Charros de Jalisco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/01/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LMP - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoLMP Canal Youtube, TVC Deportes 2

Match Stats

Hits
36
Errors
10
2B - double
10
3B - triple
01
Home Runs
10
Runs batted in
12
Left on base
66
Base on Balls
34
Strikeouts
410
Stolen bases
01
At bat
2927
Batting Average
0.1030.222

Chances of winning


Naranjeros de Hermosillo
61.6%
Charros de Jalisco
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naranjeros de Hermosillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naranjeros de Hermosillo's performance.
  • Charros de Jalisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charros de Jalisco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naranjeros de Hermosillo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charros de Jalisco than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charros de Jalisco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.64)

    2.42
    (2.1)
    7.8%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Charros de Jalisco leads series 3-2. 6th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Naranjeros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Naranjeros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 95:117. (average 4.8:5.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Naranjeros won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:23. (average 5.1:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco were as follows:
    06.01.2026 Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo 8:5
    05.01.2026 Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo 12:3
    04.01.2026 Charros de Jalisco - Naranjeros de Hermosillo 5:9
    02.01.2026 Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco 12:0
    01.01.2026 Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Charros de Jalisco 5:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tomateros (4)Caneros Mochis (5)4 : 3
    2Jaguares de Nayarit (1)Algodoneros (8)1 : 4
    3Hermosillo (3)Jalisco (6)2 : 4
    4Yaquis de Obregon (2)Aguilas de Mexicali (7)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Tomateros (4)Algodoneros (8)4 : 0
    2Jalisco (6)Aguilas de Mexicali (7)4 : 1

    Final
    1Tomateros (4)Jalisco (6)0 : 4