Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nardo 53.2% | Draw 27.1% | Francavilla 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Nardo - Francavilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.85) |
3.35 (3.35) |
4.6 ↑ (3.91) |
10.2% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2.
- Nardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Francavilla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Nardo is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nardo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nardo won against Francavilla?
Nardo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francavilla won against Nardo?
Francavilla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nardo - Francavilla were as follows:
09.11.2025
Francavilla
-
Nardo
1:1
02.02.2025
Francavilla
-
Nardo
1:2
06.10.2024
Nardo
-
Francavilla
0:0
26.02.2023
Francavilla
-
Nardo
2:1
23.10.2022
Nardo
-
Francavilla
2:1
Latest results of Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 43:16 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Paganese | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 29:22 | 7 | 53 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 52 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Gravina | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:25 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | SS Nola 1925 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Heraclea | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:28 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Sarnese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Francavilla | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 18:33 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Pompei | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 14:31 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15:56 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation