Nardo vs Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Nardo
53.2%
Draw
27.1%
Francavilla
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 27.3% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 26.6% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Nardo - Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.85)
    3.35
    (3.35)
    4.6
    (3.91)
    10.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2.
    • Nardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Francavilla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Nardo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nardo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nardo - Francavilla were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Francavilla - Nardo 1:1
    02.02.2025 Francavilla - Nardo 1:2
    06.10.2024 Nardo - Francavilla 0:0
    26.02.2023 Francavilla - Nardo 2:1
    23.10.2022 Nardo - Francavilla 2:1
    Latest results of Nardo
    15.03.2026 Acerrana - Nardo 0:0
    01.03.2026 Nardo - Fidelis Andria 3:2
    22.02.2026 Nardo - Heraclea 0:0
    15.02.2026 Afragolese - Nardo 0:0
    08.02.2026 Nardo - Città di Fasano 3:0
    Latest results of Francavilla
    01.03.2026 Nola - Francavilla 1:2
    15.02.2026 Gravina - Francavilla 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta311810348:183064
    2Martina Calcio31178644:261859
    3Citta di Fasano31168744:331156
    4Paganese31167831:25655
    5A.C.D. Nardo311213637:261149
    6Afragolese31139945:38748
    7Virtus Francavilla311211842:311147
    8Gravina311371140:38246
    9Fidelis Andria311281132:25744
    10Sarnese319121046:43339
    11Real Normanna319121023:23039
    12Manfredonia311091232:36-439
    13SS Nola 1925311071440:44-437
    14Francavilla31991332:36-436
    15Heraclea31981427:33-635
    16Ferrandina31681719:41-2226
    17Pompei31671817:35-1825
    18Acerrana31352318:66-4814

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation