Result
1:2
03/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (368/477) | 77% (401/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (368/477) | 77% (401/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (35/94) | 53% (40/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (95/134) | 66% (104/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.82 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Bakhromov S. ⚽, Abdirakhmatov Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Ogbu F. I. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
- 60', Folha B. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
- 66', Gaybullaev G. ↓, Golban I. ↑,
- 66', Shala A. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
- 67', Ceran D. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
- 71', Colovic S. 🟨,
- 76', Colovic S. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
- 77', Diarra B. 🟨,
- 77', Abdirakhmatov Z. 🟨,
- 78', Jadsom 🟨,
- 83', Abdirakhmatov Z. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Caio Canedo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nasaf Qarshi
27.5% | Draw
26.2% | Al-Wahda
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nasaf Qarshi's form might have worsened.Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Wahda's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nasaf Qarshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (-14.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Wahda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Wahda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(2.34) |
3.68 ↑
(3.33) |
2.08 ↓
(2.8) |
3.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Wahda?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Al-Wahda (1.59) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Al-Wahda (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Al-Wahda (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Wahda will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Wahda will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 15 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent performances by Nasaf have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Wahda is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Nasaf has had a series of away games.
- Al-Wahda might have a minor edge in this game.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Al-Wahda?
Nasaf Qarshi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wahda won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Al-Wahda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Wahda were as follows:
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Latest results of Al-Wahda
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
