Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Amadi B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Bright B. 🟨,
- 62', Istifanus J. ↓, Lawal A. ↑,
- 65', Aimufua J. ↓, Abdulsalam A. ↑,
- 65', Aule J. ↓, Gata A. ↑,
- 69', Saheed O. 🟨,
- 74', Bright B. ↓, Mohammed S. ↑,
- 76', Chimezie I. ↓, Suleiman D. ↑,
- 76', Alakija H. ↓, John J. ↑,
- 83', Okechukwu I. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 0, Abdulsalam A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kwara United
43.6% | Draw
32% | Nasarawa United
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kwara United's performance.Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nasarawa United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-13.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kwara United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (+14.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nasarawa United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kwara United - Nasarawa United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(3.06) |
2.9 ↑
(2.87) |
3.82 ↑
(2.3) |
7.4%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kwara won 4.
- In recent matches, Kwara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nasarawa United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Nasarawa United has had a series of home games.
- Kwara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kwara won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kwara won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Kwara United won against Nasarawa United?
Kwara United has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasarawa United won against Kwara United?
Nasarawa United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kwara United - Nasarawa United were as follows:
09.11.2025
Nasarawa United
-
Kwara United
1:1
26.03.2025
Kwara United
-
Nasarawa United
1:0
10.11.2024
Nasarawa United
-
Kwara United
0:1
24.05.2023
Nasarawa United
-
Kwara United
0:1
07.05.2023
Kwara United
-
Nasarawa United
1:0
Latest results of Kwara United
Latest results of Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rivers United | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 58 |
| 2 | Rangers Int'l | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 39:24 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Ikorodu City | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 37:30 | 7 | 55 |
| 4 | Abia Warriors | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 28:26 | 2 | 52 |
| 5 | Shooting | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 | Nasarawa | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:27 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Bendel | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 37:37 | 0 | 46 |
| 9 | Barau | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 46 |
| 10 | Katsina Utd | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 34:31 | 3 | 43 |
| 12 | Enyimba | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 33:36 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | El Kanemi | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 25:38 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 | Kano Pillars | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 30:35 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Kwara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 17 | Bayelsa United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30:35 | -5 | 40 |
| 18 | Wikki Tourist | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 40 |
| 19 | Remo Stars | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:37 | -3 | 39 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
