Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPFL - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | NPFL Live |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Yusuf A. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Aimufua J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 45+3', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', 🟨,
- 76', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nasarawa United
58.7% | Draw
28.6% | Kwara United
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasarawa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nasarawa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Nasarawa United - Kwara United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.45) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
7.16 ↓
(8.4) |
10.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 1.
- In recent matches, Nasarawa United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kwara is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nasarawa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nasarawa United is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nasarawa United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nasarawa United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nasarawa United won against Kwara United?
Nasarawa United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kwara United won against Nasarawa United?
Kwara United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nasarawa United - Kwara United were as follows:
26.03.2025
Kwara United
-
Nasarawa United
1:0
10.11.2024
Nasarawa United
-
Kwara United
0:1
24.05.2023
Nasarawa United
-
Kwara United
0:1
07.05.2023
Kwara United
-
Nasarawa United
1:0
11.02.2023
Nasarawa United
-
Kwara United
2:0
Latest results of Nasarawa United
Latest results of Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rangers Int'l | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 38:21 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 29:23 | 6 | 52 |
| 3 | Nasarawa | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 31:25 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Ikorodu City | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Abia Warriors | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 49 |
| 6 | Shooting | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 47 |
| 7 | Bendel | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 36:28 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | Katsina Utd | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 42 |
| 9 | Plateau United | 31 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 31:33 | -2 | 42 |
| 10 | El Kanemi | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 24:34 | -10 | 42 |
| 11 | Barau | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Warri Wolves | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Niger Tornadoes | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 32:30 | 2 | 39 |
| 14 | Kano Pillars | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 25:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 15 | Bayelsa United | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 26:32 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 | Enyimba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 36 |
| 17 | Wikki Tourist | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 36 |
| 18 | Remo Stars | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 19 | Kun Khalifa | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Kwara | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | -4 | 33 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
