Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (274/358) | 79% (279/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (274/358) | 79% (279/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (15/44) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/90) | 70% (86/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sullivan C. 🟨,
- 61', Donovan C. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
- 61', Sullivan C. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
- 63', Perez J. 🟥,
- 71', Wagner K. 🟨,
- 72', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 73', Glesnes J. 🟨,
- 79', Bender B. 🟨,
- 80', Muyl A. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
- 82', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 89', Tagseth E. 🟨,
- 90', Yazbek P. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
- 90', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 90+11', 1 - 0, Bunbury T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Nashville SC
49.2% | Draw
25.5% | Philadelphia Union
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.11) |
3.74 ↑
(3.54) |
3.75 ↑
(3.45) |
5.5%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
Nashville SC will win
(59 of 66 users predict this - 89.39%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.96% – 96.82%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nashville SC will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T.
(Knee Injury)
Valdez X.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Baribo T.
(Calf Injury)
Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
Harriel N.
(International duty)
Sullivan Q.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Nashville: Meyer W.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Mbaizo O.
(Groin Injury)
Uhre M.
(Hip Injury)
Westfield F.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Philadelphia Union?
Nashville SC has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Nashville SC?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
20.07.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Nashville SC
3:0
06.04.2024
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:2
07.10.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Nashville SC
0:0
12.07.2023
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
0:2
Latest results of Nashville SC
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
