Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.13
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
77% (274/358)79% (279/354)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.43
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
77% (274/358)79% (279/354)
Long passes
34% (15/44)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
54% (49/90)70% (86/123)
Crosses
45% (5/11)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.46
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1212
Tackles
71% (10/14)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5258
Clearances
3413
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.432.26
Goals prevented
0.431.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sullivan C. 🟨,
  • 61', Donovan C. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
  • 61', Sullivan C. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
  • 63', Perez J. 🟥,
  • 71', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 72', Vassilev I. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
  • 73', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 79', Bender B. 🟨,
  • 80', Muyl A. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
  • 82', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
  • 89', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 90', Yazbek P. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
  • 90', Surridge S. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
  • 90+11', 1 - 0, Bunbury T. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
49.2%		Draw
25.5%		Philadelphia Union
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 27% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 27.1% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.92 ↓
    (2.11)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.54)    		 3.75 ↑
    (3.45)    		 5.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (59 of 66 users predict this - 89.39%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.96% – 96.82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nashville SC will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Valdez X. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Baribo T. (Calf Injury) Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Harriel N. (International duty) Sullivan Q. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Nashville: Meyer W. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Mbaizo O. (Groin Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury) Westfield F. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 3:0
    06.04.2024 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    07.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 0:0
    12.07.2023 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    25.06.2025 New England Revolution - Nashville SC 2:3 ✺
    14.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Nashville SC 0:2 ✺
    31.05.2025 Nashville SC - New York City 2:2 ✺
    28.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Nashville SC 2:2 ✺
    24.05.2025 Toronto FC - Nashville SC 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    29.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺
    25.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺
    14.06.2025 Philadelphia Union - Charlotte 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 FC Dallas - Philadelphia Union 0:0 ✺
    28.05.2025 Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union 1:2 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

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          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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