Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
3:1
16/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.64
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
78% (255/329)83% (398/479)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.471.11
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
78% (255/329)83% (398/479)
Long passes
32% (17/53)62% (44/71)
Passes in final third
57% (35/61)70% (128/182)
Crosses
0% (0/6)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.65
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1512
Tackles
57% (4/7)100% (13/13)
Duels won
3139
Clearances
285
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.113.47
Goals prevented
0.110.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Damiani B. 🟨,
  • 21', Westfield F. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
  • 37', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Qasem A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽,
  • 62', Iloski M. 🟨,
  • 64', Damiani B. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
  • 64', Iloski M. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
  • 66', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Sullivan Q. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
  • 75', Lovitz D. 🟨,
  • 76', Muyl A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
  • 77', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Lovitz D. (A),
  • 86', Vassilev I. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
  • 86', Mukhtar H. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
  • 86', Baribo T. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
  • 90', Surridge S. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
41.8%		Draw
27.5%		Philadelphia Union
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 26.5% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 26.3% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↓
    (3.31)    		 3.43 ↓
    (3.55)    		 3.01 ↑
    (2.09)    		 7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
    • Nashville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:0
    20.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 3:0
    06.04.2024 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    07.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 0:0
    12.07.2023 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    13.09.2025 Cincinnati - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Nashville SC - Atlanta United 0:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Nashville SC - Orlando City 5:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 New York City - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 St. Louis City - Nashville SC 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    13.09.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union 7:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 4:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺
    13.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1Steel CityPittsburgh
    2Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    3Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    4VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    5FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    6TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    7Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    8BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    9Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    10CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    11AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    12Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    13ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    14Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    15Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    16West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    17Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    18MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    19Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    20Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    21LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    22Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    23Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    24DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    25Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    26VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    27San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    28Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    29New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    30Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    31Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    32Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1Virginia Dream
    2Asheville CityOne Knoxville
    3FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs
    4Indy ElevenUnion Omaha
    5Charlotte Independ.Charleston
    6Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic
    7ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo
    8Richmond KickersLoudoun
    9Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
    10Vermont GreenWestchester SC
    11LexingtonLouisville City
    12Flint CityDetroit
    13Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity
    14San AntonioFC Tulsa
    15New MexicoEl Paso
    16Orange County SCPhoenix Rising
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