Result
3:1
16/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (255/329) | 83% (398/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (255/329) | 83% (398/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 62% (44/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (35/61) | 70% (128/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 100% (13/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 3.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Damiani B. 🟨,
- 21', Westfield F. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
- 37', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Qasem A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽,
- 62', Iloski M. 🟨,
- 64', Damiani B. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
- 64', Iloski M. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 66', Wagner K. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Sullivan Q. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
- 75', Lovitz D. 🟨,
- 76', Muyl A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 77', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Lovitz D. (A),
- 86', Vassilev I. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
- 86', Mukhtar H. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 86', Baribo T. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
- 90', Surridge S. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nashville SC
41.8% | Draw
27.5% | Philadelphia Union
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(3.31) |
3.43 ↓
(3.55) |
3.01 ↑
(2.09) |
7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
- Nashville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against Philadelphia Union?
Nashville SC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Nashville SC?
Philadelphia Union has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
05.07.2025
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:0
20.07.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Nashville SC
3:0
06.04.2024
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
1:2
07.10.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Nashville SC
0:0
12.07.2023
Nashville SC
-
Philadelphia Union
0:2
Latest results of Nashville SC
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Draw
20251/128-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 3 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Richmond Kickers | Virginia Dream | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 9 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | Menace | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Flatirons | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 17 | Hartford Athletic | New York Shockers | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 24 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 25 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 29 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 31 | Motown | Westchester SC | |
| 32 | Cincinnati 2 | New York Pancyprian | 0 : 1 |
| 33 | Tacoma Defiance | Washington AC | 3 : 1 |
| 34 | Ballard | Spokane Velocity | 0 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 40 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 41 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 43 | Monterey Bay | International SF | 4 : 0 |
| 44 | Real Monarchs | El Farolito | 1 : 3 |
| 48 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 49 | Forward Madison | Duluth FC | 5 : 1 |
| 50 | Tulsa Athletic | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 56 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 57 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 61 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 63 | Ventura County | Laguna United | 7 : 0 |
| 64 | El Paso | Harpos | 5 : 1 |
| 65 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 69 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 71 | Inter Miami II | Miami United | 4 : 2 |
| 72 | Miami FC | Naples United | 4 : 1 |
| 73 | Columbus Crew 2 | NY Renegades | 4 : 1 |
| 74 | Lexington | Southern Indiana | 5 : 0 |
| 76 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 80 | Bye | New York City | |
| 81 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 83 | Asheville City | Greenville | 0 : 1 |
| 84 | Appalachian | One Knoxville | 0 : 3 |
| 88 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 89 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 93 | AV Alta | Ventura | 3 : 1 |
| 94 | Los Angeles FC 2 | Arizona FC | 7 : 1 |
| 96 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 97 | Sarasota Paradise | FC Naples | 1 : 2 |
| 98 | Little Rock Rangers | Birmingham | 1 : 0 |
| 100 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 104 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 105 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 109 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 111 | Chattanooga | Corpus Christi FC | 1 : 0 |
| 112 | New Jersey Alliance | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 113 | Long Island | Charlotte Independ. | 2 : 3 |
| 114 | Carolina Core | Soda City | 4 : 2 |
| 116 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 120 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 121 | DC United | Bye | |
| 125 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 127 | Tormenta | Harbor City | 3 : 0 |
| 128 | Texoma | Foro | 1 : 2 |
1/64-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 2 | Loudoun | Virginia Dream | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 5 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 7 | Menace | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 12 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 15 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 16 | Westchester SC | New York Pancyprian | 3 : 2 |
| 17 | Tacoma Defiance | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 20 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 21 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 22 | Monterey Bay | El Farolito | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 25 | Forward Madison | FC Tulsa | 1 : 3 |
| 26 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 28 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 29 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 31 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 32 | Ventura County | El Paso | 0 : 3 |
| 33 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 35 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 36 | Inter Miami II | Miami FC | 0 : 1 |
| 37 | Columbus Crew 2 | Lexington | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 40 | Bye | New York City | |
| 41 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 42 | Greenville | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 44 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 45 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 47 | AV Alta | Los Angeles FC 2 | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 49 | FC Naples | Little Rock Rangers | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 53 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 55 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 56 | Chattanooga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 2 |
| 57 | Charlotte Independ. | Carolina Core | 2 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 60 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 61 | DC United | Bye | |
| 63 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 64 | Tormenta | Foro | 3 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Loudoun | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 3 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 4 | Union Omaha | San Antonio | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Rhode Island | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 8 | Detroit | Westchester SC | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | Oakland Roots | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 13 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 15 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 2 : 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 18 | Indy Eleven | Miami FC | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Columbus Crew 2 | Pittsburgh | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | New York City | |
| 21 | Colorado Springs | One Knoxville | 3 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 23 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 24 | AV Alta | Orange County SC | 3 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Naples | Tampa Bay | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 27 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 28 | Las Vegas Lights | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 29 | Charlotte Independ. | North Carolina | 1 : 3 |
| 30 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 31 | DC United | Bye | |
| 32 | Charleston | Tormenta | 4 : 0 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Louisville City | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | Union Omaha | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rhode Island | New England Revolution | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | Detroit | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | El Paso | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | Indy Eleven | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh | New York City | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Colorado Springs | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 4 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | AV Alta | 3 : 1 |
| 13 | Tampa Bay | Orlando City | 0 : 5 |
| 14 | Nashville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | North Carolina | Charlotte | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | DC United | Charleston | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | St. Louis City | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union | Pittsburgh | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls | FC Dallas | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Charlotte | DC United | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | DC United | 5 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Minnesota United | Austin FC | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | Nashville SC | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Austin FC | Nashville SC | 1 : 2 |
