Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
3:1
16/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.64
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
78% (255/329)83% (398/479)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.471.11
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
78% (255/329)83% (398/479)
Long passes
32% (17/53)62% (44/71)
Passes in final third
57% (35/61)70% (128/182)
Crosses
0% (0/6)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.65
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1512
Tackles
57% (4/7)100% (13/13)
Duels won
3139
Clearances
285
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.113.47
Goals prevented
0.110.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Damiani B. 🟨,
  • 21', Westfield F. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
  • 37', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Qasem A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽,
  • 62', Iloski M. 🟨,
  • 64', Damiani B. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
  • 64', Iloski M. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
  • 66', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Sullivan Q. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
  • 75', Lovitz D. 🟨,
  • 76', Muyl A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
  • 77', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Lovitz D. (A),
  • 86', Vassilev I. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
  • 86', Mukhtar H. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
  • 86', Baribo T. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
  • 90', Surridge S. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
41.8%		Draw
27.5%		Philadelphia Union
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 26.5% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 26.3% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↓
    (3.31)    		 3.43 ↓
    (3.55)    		 3.01 ↑
    (2.09)    		 7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
    • Nashville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:0
    20.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 3:0
    06.04.2024 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    07.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 0:0
    12.07.2023 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    13.09.2025 Cincinnati - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Nashville SC - Atlanta United 0:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Nashville SC - Orlando City 5:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 New York City - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 St. Louis City - Nashville SC 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    13.09.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Philadelphia Union 7:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 4:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union 1:0 ✺
    13.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.
    3Westchester SCNew York City
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh
    5DetroitChicago Fire
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
    7Louisville CityAustin FC
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
    13FC NaplesOrlando City
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
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