Natan Rodrigues vs Miguel Tobon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Tobon M. retired
17/02/2026 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
69%57%
1st serve points won
79% (19/24)57% (17/30)
2nd serve points won
73% (8/11)35% (8/23)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)20% (1/5)
1st return points won
43% (13/30)21% (5/24)
2nd return points won
65% (15/23)27% (3/11)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)50% (1/2)
Winners
1414
Unforced errors
1626
Net points won
100% (5/5)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
77% (27/35)47% (25/53)
Return Points Won
53% (28/53)23% (8/35)
Total Points Won
63% (55/88)38% (33/88)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
86% (6/7)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)14% (1/7)
Total games won
67% (10/15)33% (5/15)

Chances of winning


Natan Rodrigues
41.1%
Miguel Tobon
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Natan Rodrigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Natan Rodrigues's performance.
  • Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Tobon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Natan Rodrigues - Miguel Tobon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.77)

    1.58
    (1.39)
    6.8%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Natan Rodrigues - Miguel Tobon?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodrigues will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tobon will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rodrigues is ranked ATP: 946. Tobon is ranked ATP: 602.
    • Rodrigues is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tobon could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Natan Rodrigues
    Latest results of Miguel Tobon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2