Luke Humphries vs Nathan Aspinall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts World Grand Prix Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall
Result
2:0
06/10/2025 at 16:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Grand Prix - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
hungaryHungarySport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
worldWorldPDC TV

Chances of winning


Luke Humphries
65.2%
Nathan Aspinall
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Humphries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.44)

    2.72
    (2.75)
    7.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Format: Double in, Double out.
    • Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 23.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Humphries will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 101:87. (average 5.6:4.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:4
    29.05.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 10:7
    24.04.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:3
    27.03.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:5
    23.03.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries 6:1
    Latest results of Luke Humphries
    Latest results of Nathan Aspinall
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Aspinall N.2 : 0
    2Schindler M. (16)Ratajski K.0 : 2
    3Dobey C. (8)Menzies C.0 : 2
    4Cross R. (9)Nijman W.2 : 1
    5Bunting S. (4)Springer N.2 : 0
    6Noppert D. (13)Wattimena J.2 : 1
    7Wade J. (5)Cullen J.0 : 2
    8Anderson G. (12)van Barneveld R.2 : 1
    9Littler L. (2)van Veen G.2 : 0
    10Wright P. (15)De Decker M.1 : 2
    11Price G. (7)Searle R.2 : 1
    12Rock J. (10)Joyce R.2 : 1
    13van Gerwen M. (3)van Duijvenbode D.0 : 2
    14Smith R. (14)Gurney D.0 : 2
    15Clayton J. (6)Gilding A.2 : 0
    16Heta D. (11)Woodhouse L.1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Ratajski K.3 : 1
    2Menzies C.Cross R. (9)3 : 1
    3Bunting S. (4)Noppert D. (13)1 : 3
    4Cullen J.Anderson G. (12)0 : 3
    5Littler L. (2)De Decker M.3 : 0
    6Price G. (7)Rock J. (10)3 : 0
    7van Duijvenbode D.Gurney D.3 : 0
    8Clayton J. (6)Woodhouse L.3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Menzies C.
    2Noppert D. (13)Anderson G. (12)3 : 1
    3Littler L. (2)Price G. (7)
    4van Duijvenbode D.Clayton J. (6)0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Noppert D. (13)
    2TBD #3Clayton J. (6)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2