Luke Humphries vs Nathan Aspinall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts Premier League Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall
Result
10:7
29/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports MORE
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, Sport 1
hungaryHungarySport 2
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event
worldWorldPDC TV

Chances of winning


Luke Humphries
73.2%
Nathan Aspinall
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Humphries that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nathan Aspinall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.35)

    3.44
    (2.98)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 16.50
  • What is the prediction for Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Humphries will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Aspinall will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Humphries (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 10:6.
  • Preview Facts
    • Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 9.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Humphries is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 85:76. (average 5.3:4.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:3
    27.03.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:5
    23.03.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries 6:1
    06.02.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries 2:6
    17.01.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:5
    Latest results of Luke Humphries
    Latest results of Nathan Aspinall
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Price G. (4)10 : 7
    2Humphries L. (2)Aspinall N. (3)10 : 7

    Final
    1Littler L. (1)Humphries L. (2)