Nathan Aspinall vs Luke Littler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts Poland Darts Masters Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler
Result
3:6
05/07/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Poland Darts Masters - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports MORE
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
hungaryHungarySport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomITV 4

Chances of winning


Nathan Aspinall
29.5%
Luke Littler
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Luke Littler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (3.18)

    1.33
    (1.32)
    7.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
  • What is the prediction for Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aspinall (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:6.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 6. Littler is ranked World Ranking: 2.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 2.
    • Aspinall has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Littler has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Littler is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Littler will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 59:81. (average 3.9:5.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall 3:6
    22.05.2025 Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall 6:4
    08.05.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Luke Littler 4:6
    01.05.2025 Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall 6:5
    20.03.2025 Luke Littler - Nathan Aspinall 6:3
    Latest results of Nathan Aspinall
    Latest results of Luke Littler
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Bunting S. (1)Kanik T.6 : 3
    2Clayton J.Ratajski K.3 : 6
    3Aspinall N. (4)Szaganski R.6 : 4
    4Littler L.Sedlacek K.6 : 4
    5Price G. (2)Bialecki S.6 : 3
    6Dobey C.Jehirszki G.6 : 1
    7Cross R. (3)Kciuk K.6 : 2
    8van Gerwen M.Ljubic P.6 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Bunting S. (1)Ratajski K.6 : 5
    2Aspinall N. (4)Littler L.3 : 6
    3Price G. (2)Dobey C.6 : 2
    4Cross R. (3)van Gerwen M.6 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Bunting S. (1)Littler L.7 : 3
    2Price G. (2)Cross R. (3)7 : 3

    Final
    1Bunting S. (1)Price G. (2)