Náutico Capibaribe vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club
Result
2:2
21/07/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 14
  • Referee: Klein M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1616
Shots on Goal
68
Shots off Goal
108
Corner Kicks
211
Goalkeeper Saves
64
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
55
Attacks
56117
Dangerous Attacks
6877

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Jonathas ,
  • 30', Jonathas 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 39', Bruno Mezenga 🟨,
  • 41', Marco Antonio 🟨,
  • 41', Villero P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Paulo Sergio , Matheus Melo ,
  • 53', Alason Carioca 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Gustavo Maia ,
  • 57', Ynaia , Douglas Pele ,
  • 60', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
  • 66', Alason Carioca , Rafael Conceicao ,
  • 66', Villero P. , Alyson ,
  • 71', Marco Antonio , Ferreira F. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Patrick Allan ,
  • 77', Patrick Allan 🟨,
  • 78', Jonathas , Neto Costa ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Neto Costa ,
  • 86', Sousa 🟨,
  • 89', Mateus Ludke , Wendel Lessa ,
  • 89', Gustavo Maia , Kayon ,
  • 90+4', Douglas Pele 🟨,
  • 90+7', Matheus Melo 🟥,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
41.5%
Draw
29.2%
Athletic Club
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 29.9% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 30.1% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.46)
    3.12
    (3.05)
    3.1
    (2.75)
    10%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Athletic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Náutico will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D