Náutico Capibaribe vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club
Result
2:2
21/07/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 14
  • Referee: Klein M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1616
Shots on Goal
68
Shots off Goal
108
Corner Kicks
211
Goalkeeper Saves
64
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
55
Attacks
56117
Dangerous Attacks
6877

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Jonathas ,
  • 30', Jonathas 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 39', Bruno Mezenga 🟨,
  • 41', Marco Antonio 🟨,
  • 41', Villero P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Paulo Sergio , Matheus Melo ,
  • 53', Alason Carioca 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Gustavo Maia ,
  • 57', Ynaia , Douglas Pele ,
  • 60', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
  • 66', Alason Carioca , Rafael Conceicao ,
  • 66', Villero P. , Alyson ,
  • 71', Marco Antonio , Ferreira F. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Patrick Allan ,
  • 77', Patrick Allan 🟨,
  • 78', Jonathas , Neto Costa ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Neto Costa ,
  • 86', Sousa 🟨,
  • 89', Mateus Ludke , Wendel Lessa ,
  • 89', Gustavo Maia , Kayon ,
  • 90+4', Douglas Pele 🟨,
  • 90+7', Matheus Melo 🟥,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
41.5%
Draw
29.2%
Athletic Club
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 29.9% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 30.1% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.46)
    3.12
    (3.05)
    3.1
    (2.75)
    10%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Athletic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Náutico will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias ✔ 16120426:17936
    2Nautico1795321:61532
    3Ponte Preta ✔ 1793517:15230
    4Londrina1785426:17929
    5Sao Bernardo1785418:12629
    6Floresta EC1766513:14-124
    7Confianca1765620:21-123
    8Guarani1765617:18-123
    9Brusque1764717:17022
    10CSA1757520:19122
    11Ypiranga FC1663713:17-421
    12Ituano1756617:20-321
    13Maringa FC1749421:22-121
    14Figueirense1748520:17320
    15Botafogo PB1654719:17219
    16Anapolis1747613:18-519
    17Itabaiana1753913:18-518
    18ABC17211419:23-417
    19Retro1734106:20-1413
    20Tombense1626812:20-812

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )