Náutico Capibaribe vs Salgueiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro
Result
1:2
05/04/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Martins M. (Bra)

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
66%
Draw
21.9%
Salgueiro
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 26.2% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 25.3% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.
  • Salgueiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salgueiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salgueiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salgueiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.63)
    4.12
    (3.45)
    7.44
    (4.95)
    11.1%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 5.
    • Náutico is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Salgueiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Salgueiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Náutico is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Náutico to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Náutico won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro were as follows:
    12.03.2023 Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro 2:0
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Salgueiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Bye
    2Sport Recife (4)Decisao (5)3 : 0
    3Maguary (2)Bye
    4Nautico (3)Retro (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Sport Recife (4)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Maguary (2)Retro (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Sport Recife (4)Retro (6)2 : 2, 3 : 2