Sampaio Corrêa vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
1:1
06/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Alan James ,
  • 16', Patrick Allan 🟨,
  • 33', Cavi 🟨,
  • 45+3', Cavi 🟨,
  • 45+3', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Otusanya O. , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 46', Pimentinha , Hudson ,
  • 55', Alan James , Gelton Francisco ,
  • 55', Balao 🟨,
  • 56', Thiaguinho , Elivelton ,
  • 62', Jo , Ray ,
  • 63', Marco Antonio , Leandro Kaua ,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Leandro Kaua ,
  • 69', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
  • 73', Auremir , Wenderson ,
  • 77', Felipe Santana 🟨,
  • 79', Alan Stence , Bacurau ,
  • 83', Marcos Ytalo , Arnaldo ,
  • 83', Igor Fernandes , Vini ,

Chances of winning


Sampaio Corrêa
35.5%
Draw
31.8%
Náutico Capibaribe
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 30.9% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 30.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.38)
    2.89
    (2.95)
    2.87
    (2.97)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3.
    • Sampaio Corrêa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Náutico is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Náutico have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    18.02.2023 Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe 1:0
    23.09.2022 Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa 1:3
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2