Result
1:1
06/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Yellow Cards |
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4 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Alan James ⚽,
- 16', Patrick Allan 🟨,
- 33', Cavi 🟨,
- 45+3', Cavi 🟨,
- 45+3', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Otusanya O. ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
- 46', Pimentinha ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 55', Alan James ↓, Gelton Francisco ↑,
- 55', Balao 🟨,
- 56', Thiaguinho ↓, Elivelton ↑,
- 62', Jo ↓, Ray ↑,
- 63', Marco Antonio ↓, Leandro Kaua ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Leandro Kaua ⚽,
- 69', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
- 73', Auremir ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 77', Felipe Santana 🟨,
- 79', Alan Stence ↓, Bacurau ↑,
- 83', Marcos Ytalo ↓, Arnaldo ↑,
- 83', Igor Fernandes ↓, Vini ↑,
Chances of winning
Sampaio Corrêa 35.5% | Draw 31.8% | Náutico Capibaribe 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.38) |
2.89 ↓ (2.95) |
2.87 ↓ (2.97) |
8.4% (9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3.
- Sampaio Corrêa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Náutico is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Náutico have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sampaio Corrêa won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Sampaio Corrêa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Sampaio Corrêa?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
27.07.2024
Sampaio Corrêa
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:1
18.02.2023
Sampaio Corrêa
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:0
23.09.2022
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Sampaio Corrêa
1:3
Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | CSA | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
2 | Vitoria | Confianca | 0 : 1 |
3 | Bahia | Fortaleza | 2 : 1 |
4 | Sport Recife | Ceara | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal