Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 vs Joinville U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Catarinense U20 Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Joinville U20
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Catarinense U20 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 🟥,
  • 68', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
43.2%
Draw
26.4%
Joinville U20
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.1% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Marcílio Dias U20's performance.
  • Joinville U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville U20 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Joinville U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.4)
    3.48
    (3.4)
    3.03
    (2.4)
    8.8%
    (12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
    • Marcílio Dias U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Joinville U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Joinville U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcílio Dias U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Marcílio Dias U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Joinville U20 were as follows:
    22.05.2024 Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Joinville U20 3:0
    Latest results of Joinville U20
    Brazilian Catarinense U20 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chapecoense-SC U20 ✔ 16104235:152034
    2Barra FC U20 ✔ 1696134:142033
    3Criciuma U20 ✔ 1695222:81432
    4Figueirense U201783636:31527
    5Joinville U201681727:26125
    6Avai U201665528:21723
    7Marcilio Dias U201735920:33-1314
    8Concordia U201627718:31-1313
    9Nacao U2016321111:35-2411
    10Brusque U2016241017:34-1710

          Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chapecoense-SC U20 is Qualified for Catarinense U20 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Barra FC U20 is Qualified for Catarinense U20 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Criciuma U20 is Qualified for Catarinense U20 (Play Offs Semi~finals)