Avaí vs Náutico Marcílio Dias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias
Result
1:5
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Santa Catarina - Round 4

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 5', 0 - 1, ,
  • 34', 0 - 2, ,
  • 37', 0 - 3, ,
  • 39', 0 - 4, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 84', 0 - 5, ,
  • 86', 1 - 5, ,

Chances of winning


Avaí
11.3%
Draw
21.4%
Náutico Marcílio Dias
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 21.7% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9% 21.1% 68%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.98
    (7.38)
    4.23
    (4.2)
    1.34
    (1.38)
    10.8%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
    • Recent form of Avaí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marcílio Dias has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Marcílio Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marcílio Dias is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
    22.09.2025 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Avaí 3:0
    09.02.2025 Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias 3:0
    03.02.2024 Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias 2:2
    26.09.2023 Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias 4:3
    21.01.2023 Náutico Marcílio Dias - Avaí 1:2
    Latest results of Avaí
    29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2
    25.09.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 0:1
    20.09.2025 Avaí - Ferroviária 2:2
    Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense ✔ 541015:51013
    2Marcilio Dias531117:51210
    3Avai41033:14-113
    4Barra FC40043:14-110


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Santa Catarina431010:3710
    2Chapecoense-SC41212:4-25
    3Brusque41124:404
    4Concordia41033:8-53


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau431011:3810
    2Carlos Renaux41216:605
    3Joinville41124:6-24
    4Nacao40221:7-62


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Criciuma532011:4711
    2Caravaggio42024:406
    3Camboriu51226:8-25
    4Tubarao40221:6-52

          Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Figueirense is Qualified for Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs Quarter~finals)