Result
3:0
09/02/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Juninho Tardelli 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Hygor ⚽,
- 39', Milani ↓, Felipe Manoel ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 61', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
- 62', Jamerson ↓, Quaresma ↑,
- 62', Burbano R. ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Hygor ⚽,
- 70', Felipe Baiano ↓, Bonassa ↑,
- 70', Juninho Tardelli ↓, Brendon Sobral ↑,
- 75', Vagner Love ↓, Cleber ↑,
- 75', Hygor ↓, Rigley ↑,
- 81', Joao Vitor ↓, Judson ↑,
- 82', Luan ↓, Gerson ↑,
- 82', Joao Carlos ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Rigley ⚽,
Chances of winning
Avaí
54.3% | Draw
28.2% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.64) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
5.21 ↓
(5.23) |
9.7%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Marcílio Dias could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Avaí is a favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Avaí won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:14 (average 2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:7 (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Avaí has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Avaí?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
03.02.2024
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
26.09.2023
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
4:3
21.01.2023
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Avaí
1:2
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
