Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 1 - 0, Alburquerque A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alcalá 41.7% | Draw 28.9% | Navalcarnero 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Alcalá - Navalcarnero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (2.05) |
3.15 ↓ (3.2) |
3.13 ↓ (3.2) |
9.3% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Navalcarnero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alcalá might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcalá won against Navalcarnero?
Alcalá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Alcalá?
Navalcarnero has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcalá - Navalcarnero were as follows:
07.12.2025
Navalcarnero
-
Alcalá
3:1
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Sebastian Reyes | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 46:23 | 23 | 64 |
| 2 | Rayo Majadahonda | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 48:23 | 25 | 63 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 54 |
| 4 | Conquense | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 40:28 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Tenerife B | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 52:49 | 3 | 47 |
| 7 | RSD Alcala | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 47 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 42:38 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Ilicitano | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 41 |
| 10 | Las Palmas B | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | CF Intercity | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Navalcarnero | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 35:41 | -6 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Fuenlabrada | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Colonia M | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | Quintanar del Rey | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 31:41 | -10 | 32 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano B | 31 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 30 |
| 18 | Socuellamos | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 29:51 | -22 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation