Result
22/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alcalá
41.4% | Draw
29.9% | Navalcarnero
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Alcalá - Navalcarnero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.05) |
3.01 ↓
(3.2) |
3.19 ↓
(3.2) |
10%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Navalcarnero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alcalá could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcalá won against Navalcarnero?
Alcalá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Alcalá?
Navalcarnero has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcalá - Navalcarnero were as follows:
07.12.2025
Navalcarnero
-
Alcalá
3:1
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 41:18 | 23 | 56 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Conquense | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 47 |
| 5 | Tenerife B | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | CD Coria | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Orihuela | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Navalcarnero | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | RSD Alcala | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | CF Intercity | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 41:43 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Fuenlabrada | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Real Madrid C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 | Colonia M | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:50 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano B | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:47 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Socuellamos | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
