Navalcarnero vs Alcalá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
07/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Sanchez N. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Villar J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 86', 2 - 1, Peque ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Perez J. V. ,

Chances of winning


Navalcarnero
47.5%
Draw
29.7%
Alcalá
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 27.7% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 26.8% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Navalcarnero - Alcalá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.8)
    3.04
    (3.27)
    4.06
    (4.1)
    9.3%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Navalcarnero - Alcalá?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcalá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Navalcarnero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Navalcarnero is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Navalcarnero won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Navalcarnero
    Latest results of Alcalá
    30.11.2025 Orihuela - Alcalá 0:1
    23.11.2025 Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda 0:2
    16.11.2025 Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá 3:3
    12.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá 3:1
    08.11.2025 Alcalá - Intercity 2:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda24157237:142352
    2San Sebastian Reyes24154535:191649
    3Conquense241010427:22540
    4Getafe B23116638:261239
    5Orihuela24107735:27837
    6CD Coria24107730:23737
    7Tenerife B23114837:34337
    8CF Intercity2498734:31335
    9Las Palmas B2396832:27533
    10Navalcarnero2479828:32-430
    11RSD Alcala2478926:31-529
    12Ilicitano23610735:35028
    13Fuenlabrada24761127:30-327
    14Rayo Vallecano B24821425:39-1426
    15Colonia M24661226:44-1824
    16Real Madrid C24561327:37-1021
    17Quintanar del Rey24551422:31-920
    18Socuellamos24471320:39-1919

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