Result
12/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Coria
43.5% | Draw
28.7% | Navalcarnero
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coria's form might have worsened.Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navalcarnero's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Coria - Navalcarnero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.74) |
3.12 ↓
(3.45) |
3.26 ↓
(4.07) |
10.4%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
- Coria is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Navalcarnero's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Coria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Coria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Coria won against Navalcarnero?
Coria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Coria?
Navalcarnero has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coria - Navalcarnero were as follows:
04.01.2026
Navalcarnero
-
Coria
1:1
23.02.2025
Navalcarnero
-
Coria
0:2
13.10.2024
Coria
-
Navalcarnero
1:2
02.04.2023
Coria
-
Navalcarnero
1:1
20.11.2022
Navalcarnero
-
Coria
2:0
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Sebastian Reyes | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 46:23 | 23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rayo Majadahonda | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 46:23 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Conquense | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 38:27 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Tenerife B | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 51:46 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | RSD Alcala | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 44 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Ilicitano | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 47:47 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Las Palmas B | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | CF Intercity | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Navalcarnero | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Fuenlabrada | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 15 | Real Madrid C | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Colonia M | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 30 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:49 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 27:54 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
