Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, de Souza R. ⚽,
- 23', Dominguez A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 1, Bautista M. ⚽,
- 69', Jimenez M. 🟥,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Alcon D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Coria
43.3% | Draw
28.2% | Navalcarnero
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coria's form might have worsened.Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navalcarnero's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Coria - Navalcarnero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.74) |
3.2 ↓
(3.45) |
3.21 ↓
(4.07) |
10.1%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
- Coria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Navalcarnero's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Navalcarnero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Coria could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Coria won against Navalcarnero?
Coria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Navalcarnero won against Coria?
Navalcarnero has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coria - Navalcarnero were as follows:
04.01.2026
Navalcarnero
-
Coria
1:1
23.02.2025
Navalcarnero
-
Coria
0:2
13.10.2024
Coria
-
Navalcarnero
1:2
02.04.2023
Coria
-
Navalcarnero
1:1
20.11.2022
Navalcarnero
-
Coria
2:0
Latest results of Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 67 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 67 |
| 3 | Getafe B ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 54:33 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Conquense ✔ | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 48:37 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 41:37 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Ilicitano | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50:53 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Las Palmas B | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 41:44 | -3 | 41 |
| 11 | Navalcarnero | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Real Madrid C | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 13 | CF Intercity | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 40:45 | -5 | 40 |
| 14 | Fuenlabrada | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 37 |
| 15 | Quintanar del Rey ✔ | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33:42 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Colonia M. ✔ | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 37:55 | -18 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos ✔ | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33:54 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B ✔ | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 30:60 | -30 | 30 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Getafe B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Conquense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Quintanar del Rey is Relegated to
Colonia M. is Relegated to
Socuellamos is Relegated to
Rayo Vallecano B is Relegated to
